MI - Glengariff Group: Whitmer +20 on approval rating, but plurality would prefer someone new

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2021/02/10/why-whitmer-faces-reelection-fight-despite-job-approval-rating/4449024001/

February 3-6
600 likely voters
MoE: 4%

Approve 58
Disapprove 38
Don't know 4

Someone new 41
Reelect Whitmer 39
Depends 14
Don't know 6

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whitmer is riding the crest of Jennifer Granholm, obviously

[DaleCooper]

If they want an accurate generic poll for this, then they need to ask, "Would you vote to reelect Whitmer, or vote for her Republican opponent?"

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whitmer will win 52/48 it's a Cook plus 3 D state

[Person Man]

If Whitmer loses, Biden/Harris  probably loses unless there is something totally unforeseen that saves D asses. Things are no so polarized, I’m not expecting a 2010-2012 or a 1994-1996 situation.

[SnowLabrador]

If they want an accurate generic poll for this, then they need to ask, "Would you vote to reelect Whitmer, or vote for her Republican opponent?"

Agreed. Of course, you're not going to get an accurate poll, since the industry is forever broken.

[MT Treasurer]

If Whitmer loses, Biden/Harris  probably loses unless there is something totally unforeseen that saves D asses. Things are no so polarized, I’m not expecting a 2010-2012 or a 1994-1996 situation.

You realize that there was a double-digit gap between the 2018 Senate results and the 2020 presidential results in a ton of states, right? 'Polarization' is mostly an overused buzzword — if things were this polarized, we wouldn’t have seen >20-point D overperformances of Clinton's showing in states like WV, MT, or ND in 2018 either.

Whitmer losing wouldn’t necessarily point toward a GOP victory in 2024.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Whitmer loses, Biden/Harris  probably loses unless there is something totally unforeseen that saves D asses. Things are no so polarized, I’m not expecting a 2010-2012 or a 1994-1996 situation.

You realize that there was a double-digit gap between the 2018 Senate results and the 2020 presidential results in a ton of states, right? 'Polarization' is mostly an overused buzzword — if things were this polarized, we wouldn’t have seen >20-point D overperformances of Clinton's showing in states like WV, MT, or ND in 2018 either.

Whitmer losing wouldn’t necessarily point toward a GOP victory in 2024.

Why do you Rs keep comparing 2018 and 2020, we won ALL THE SWING STATES IN 2008/12 BY PVI 5.0 NOT 8.0 and Biden has a 59 percent approvals not Obama's and Trump's 46 percent during a midterm

The Rs haven't won the PVI since 2016 by 1 lousy pt

[Chips]

If Whitmer loses, Biden/Harris  probably loses unless there is something totally unforeseen that saves D asses. Things are no so polarized, I’m not expecting a 2010-2012 or a 1994-1996 situation.

You realize that there was a double-digit gap between the 2018 Senate results and the 2020 presidential results in a ton of states, right? 'Polarization' is mostly an overused buzzword — if things were this polarized, we wouldn’t have seen >20-point D overperformances of Clinton's showing in states like WV, MT, or ND in 2018 either.

Whitmer losing wouldn’t necessarily point toward a GOP victory in 2024.

This.