Mapping UK constituencies by social deprivation

[Pericles]

Yesterday I saw the following amazing Twitter thread, and today since I was bored I decided to translate that chart into maps.

https://twitter.com/undertheraedar/status/1390632762105806856?s=20

EDIT: Thanks to you all for your compliments and recommendations.

Looking over the most deprived constituencies I'm pretty shocked that the Tories managed to win a seat in Blackpool (!)

It being 68% for Leave made it a lot easier for them.

[Pericles]

There are still more Labour Leave seats than Tory Remain seats. In fact, a majority of Labour seats still voted to leave the EU. To be fair the Remain vote is a rough proxy for the kinds of seats that Labour would hope will trend to the left. However, even if Labour could get strong positive trends for itself, that coalition is not effectively distributed to form a government. So ideally Labour could make gains in Remain seats but get a bigger shift in Leave seats-pre Hartlepool this looked likely. That said, Labour does seem to have an emotional attachment to the Red Wall-their MPs keep saying the party exists to serve those seats. So hopefully this doesn't keep Labour from maximizing opportunities in the rest of the UK, where they do exist.

[Pericles]

Chesham and Amersham is notable since it's having a by-election soon and is one of those Tory Remain seats. The Tory majority is very strong there so it would be a huge upset if it flipped, but whether it swings to or from the Tories, and if it's the latter how much, could be interesting to see.

[Pericles]

Another point is that there are only 10 Conservative-held seats where the Remain vote was 60% or higher, and 25 where the Remain vote was 55% or higher. The Remain vote must have been heavily concentrated in high turnout Labour-held constituencies, though to be fair it does seem like marginal Leave seats (so Leave votes in the mid 50s percentage-wise) are pretty common. A majority of those Remain seats, and 7/9 of the seats with 60%+ Remain votes, have Tory majorities smaller than their nationwide popular vote win. However, most of those marginal seats have the LibDems in second place, so it's unclear if Labour would be able to not only leapfrog the LibDems but actually peel off enough Tory support to win. 3 of those seats are also vulnerable to the SNP.