Which 2024 GOP nominee would overperform in (BUT NOT WIN) Hawaii, Vermont, or Washington DC

[Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.]

As stated in poll.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hogan probably. Especially in D.C.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Trump in Hawaii
Marco Rubio in Vermont
Nikki Haley in DC

[Agafin]

If you are going to include someone like Hogan in this poll, might as well add Charlie Baker and Phil Scott too

[NewYorkExpress]

Linda Lingle is probably the only Republican who can overperform in Hawaii.

[Literally Just a Contrarian]

DeSantis would over-perform in Hawaii or California, but certainly not Vermont or Washington (he’s a bad fit for the latter two).

Hogan would over perform in Maryland and states with high levels of white college educated populations.

Trump would overperform in NY and Hawaii compared to other R’s again.



I don’t know about the others.

[Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.]

DeSantis would over-perform in Hawaii or California, but certainly not Vermont or Washington (he’s a bad fit for the latter two).


I don’t know about the others.

Thank you for your response. I am really interested to know why you think DeSantis, specifically, would overperform in Hawaii and California but not Vermont or Washington.

[Socani]

Any Northeastern Republican: Sununu, Baker, Collins, etc. I think DeSantis could see better margins than Trump but still less than Bush Jr's margins in 2000 and 2004

[Literally Just a Contrarian]

DeSantis would over-perform in Hawaii or California, but certainly not Vermont or Washington (he’s a bad fit for the latter two).


I don’t know about the others.

Thank you for your response. I am really interested to know why you think DeSantis, specifically, would overperform in Hawaii and California but not Vermont or Washington.

I can see DeSantis doing well with Hawaiian Natives and Asians (for Hawaii) and fairly well with Hispanics (for CA).

But I don’t really see him improving massively over Trump with the types of college educated progressive whites in Washington or Vermont. The best he does is not angering them to turnout against him as much as Trump did.

Also, I forgot that Washington has a lot of Hispanics and Asians, so I may reconsider that response.

[Kamala's side hoe]

DeSantis would over-perform in Hawaii or California, but certainly not Vermont or Washington (he’s a bad fit for the latter two).


I don’t know about the others.

Thank you for your response. I am really interested to know why you think DeSantis, specifically, would overperform in Hawaii and California but not Vermont or Washington.

I can see DeSantis doing well with Hawaiian Natives and Asians (for Hawaii) and fairly well with Hispanics (for CA).

But I don’t really see him improving massively over Trump with the types of college educated progressive whites in Washington or Vermont. The best he does is not angering them to turnout against him as much as Trump did.

Also, I forgot that Washington has a lot of Hispanics and Asians, so I may reconsider that response.

Washington state (WA) voted more or less how I expected in 2020. WA didn't surprise me like CA, NV, NJ, NY, VA, TX, HI, etc. The heavily Latino and/or Asian parts of King County swung similarly to their Metro Portland counterparts.

I don't think there is a single GOP candidate who would overperform in all of HI, VT, and DC. I'm not even sure what appeal DeSantis would have with Native Hawaiians or Asians, outside of his environmental record and not having an #elitist Religious Right/neocon vibe.

[Central Lake]

I think a clarification is needed about if we are talking about Washington D.C or Washington state.

[Chips]

Hogan, probably.