How would Incumbent Senator Ken Buck have performed in 2016?
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  How would Incumbent Senator Ken Buck have performed in 2016?
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Author Topic: How would Incumbent Senator Ken Buck have performed in 2016?  (Read 546 times)
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 08, 2021, 11:38:42 AM »

Let's say Ken Buck won in 2010 against Bennet. How would he have performed in 2016 as an incumbent? In the OTL Incumbent Michael Bennet barely cracked 50% of the vote and won by 5.7% against Darryl Glenn, while Clinton carried the state by 4.9% at the presidential level.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2021, 11:42:45 AM »

Obviously would have lost by ~5%
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compucomp
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« Reply #2 on: May 08, 2021, 12:05:55 PM »

I am saying it right now: If either Ossoff or Warnock wins, I'll leave the forum for 1 solid year.
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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2021, 12:57:26 PM »

Not to extrapolate too much from the actual election results, but given that the winners of every Senate race were from the same party as the winner of the presidential race in their state in 2016, I'd imagine Buck would've lost by around 3% to 5% to whichever candidate the Dems had nominated. (Romanoff? Hickenlooper? Neguse? DiGette?)
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2021, 04:15:28 PM »

I am saying it right now: If either Ossoff or Warnock wins, I'll leave the forum for 1 solid year.

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Chips
Those Chips
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« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2021, 09:57:07 PM »

Buck still loses.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #6 on: June 20, 2021, 08:45:12 PM »

Buck loses, by 4-5% (slightly overperforming Trump but still losing).
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