Will Florida, North Carolina or Texas be contested by Democrats in 2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It depends on 2022 if Crist and BEASLEY win

Gweyn Graham will be looking for a job outside of Cabinet come 2024 and can run against Rick Scott or Val Deming's can

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yep, Rs don't have a monopoly on those states

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All three. North Carolina, which has much in common with Georgia, could be low-hanging fruit.

In Florida I expect Democrats to turn the "Castro" smears against Trump.

You WARNOCK is trailing Herchel Walker 47/45 and GA was an R state since 1992, D's don't need GA which have voter suppression laws

Vernon Jones and Herschel Walker can be new elected officials in GA

D's don't need AZ but it's an Environmental friendly state due to Wildfires and McCain was pro Environmental friendly

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, or at least they should.

Not contesting NC would be moronic, it leans GOP and hasn't really trended either way, but it's winnable. Ground game is key.

TX has Cruz, and I would argue that a split ticket is possible there, with the GOP presidential candidate winning but Cruz losing. The trends in the big cities needs to be continued, and we still don't know if the RGV/Hispanic GOP trend is permanent or an anomaly. Money spent there is money that goes towards taking down Cruz and picking up House seats, even if it doesn't translate to the presidential election. Downballot races are important! The House and the Senate are arguably more important than the President in the realm of domestic policy, and state and local elections can also affect how a party does nationally.

Florida does seem to be trending the wrong way, but like the RGV, we don't know if the South Florida trend is permanent or an anomaly born out of a weird election. Besides that, downballot races.

More than all of that, Dems can't be writing off states. Don't drop all your cash on difficult states, but as long as a state is plausibly winnable in the current election or within the next few, you should at least try to contest. The rust belt going red in 2016 wasn't a random event, the GOP had built their ground game in the upper midwest for years, until the right candidate came along and gave them the edge.

REALLY

D's don't need any of these states all they need is NV, NM, PA, MI and WI

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There is likely to be buyers remorse in the S come 2022, that's why GA is leaning Red with Herschel Walker leads WARNOCK 47/45 there isn't even any polling on the Senate race and the NC Gov race Cooper is term limited and it's likely to flip back R in 2024

That's why NC will vote Red the Gov race in 2024/ is Likely R come 2024 because Cooper can't run for Reelection

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Covid will be over before you know it and it depends on what happens in  these states in 2022 a full blown Recovery will allow us to win these states