GA - Remington/Vernon Jones internal (R): Kemp leads Vernon Jones in primary (user search)
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  GA - Remington/Vernon Jones internal (R): Kemp leads Vernon Jones in primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA - Remington/Vernon Jones internal (R): Kemp leads Vernon Jones in primary  (Read 654 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,102
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Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: May 07, 2021, 11:20:08 AM »

Why does Jones have a 20% unfavorable rating in a GOP primary?

Because he's African American

No, probably because he was a Democrat up until last year and there's still residual suspicion.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2021, 04:49:03 PM »

Honestly this race seems safe Kemp to me. By the time of the primary, the "betrayal" of Trump becomes less and less important, and I'm struggling to see Jones's actual constituency other than extreme diehard Trumpers, which do constitute an insignificant number of people, but not enough to win the primary. The conservative base of Georgia isn't going to trust some random black guy from Dekalb county who recently turned Republican lol.

Kemp's favorability among Republicans in this internal of +4 is way lower than +44 found in the AJC poll, which is probably closer to reality, so safe Kemp.

I wouldn't say safe Kemp just yet, but Kemp got back some conservative cred after the election bill fallout. If he can keep doing that on other issues to make people forget about the 2020 election, he will be able to successfully fend off a challenge.
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