So which state is the new Ohio? (user search)
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  So which state is the new Ohio? (search mode)
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Author Topic: So which state is the new Ohio?  (Read 1189 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181


« on: May 05, 2021, 12:56:27 AM »

Pennsylvania.  It's a state that has like a 2 to 3 point democratic lean just like the national popular vote.

It also has a good mix of big cities, suburbs, exurbs, rural areas.

It's also a state that's probably going to vote with the winner for at least the next few elections.  The only way I see it not voting with the winner is if Democrats flip Texas and lose PA in a fluke.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181


« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2021, 01:31:02 PM »

It will be Pennsylvania or Wisconsin until it's Georgia or Arizona.

IMO Georgia is the new Virginia- rapidly swinging left and destined to become a safely-Democratic state by the end of the decade.
Arizona is harder to predict; it could remain fairly competitive or it could also go left.

As for the state which is the new Ohio- I think it has to be Pennsylvania or North Carolina. Neither is likely to go strongly for either party.

This guy gets it.  spot on analysis.
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