But what if the top issue hasn't arrived yet?
Remember in '08 it was the recession, in '20 it was covid. We didn't see those coming early in the election process.
But assuming nothing major/bad happens, it'll probably just be jobs/economy, or the GOP will not learn their lesson and focus entirely on "muh socialism sucks" TPUSA talking points like they're treating the entire country like Miami.
Oh and loyalty to Donald Trump. If they’re not loyal enough and Trump doesn’t like them, the MAGA base won’t vote for them, therefore they won’t be the nominee.