When Do You See Texas Becoming a Swing State?

[Agonized-Statism]

Depends on the candidates and the circumstances, but generally I lean toward 2032. Democrats need time to build a base with Hispanics and urban centers still have some growing to do (Houston, for instance, is only set to surpass Chicago as the third largest city in 2023). A change in governors might expedite things, because while Abbott has been able to hold together the business conservatives and the grassroots, a Governor Dan Patrick, Ken Paxton, or George P. Bush might not. Scandals like the Freeze are calling the Republican machine into question, and now it's up to the Democrats to put together winning coalitions of anti-corruption dissenters. Like I said, more campaigning for Hispanic issues. That'll be the master stroke in becoming competitive both statewide and presidentially. Looking at Sanders' performance in the primaries, building up the Texas Democrats' progressive wing could help.