When Do You See Texas Becoming a Swing State? (user search)
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  When Do You See Texas Becoming a Swing State? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: When do you think Texas is going to become a swing state?
#1
2028
 
#2
2032
 
#3
2036
 
#4
2040
 
#5
Not ever
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: When Do You See Texas Becoming a Swing State?  (Read 3540 times)
cwh2018
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Posts: 109
« on: May 05, 2021, 12:12:11 PM »

Democrats probably won't win it in 2024 unless Biden walks the election like Clinton in '96.  I think there is a fairly good chance that the GOP wins the White House in 2024, which could mean that Texas is a tossup in 2028.  If Biden or Harris win the White House in 2024 then the GOP probably hold Texas in 2028 with 2032 the most likely time that Texas is a genuine tossup.  I would not rule out the GOP holding it in the next 3 or 4 elections though.

Couple of things to remember with Texas is that it is a fairly young state and it still has low voter turnout so things could change quite quickly.  It is also growing at a fair pace, meaning there could be as many as 3 million more votes for president in 8 years time.
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