Census Population Estimates 2020-29

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cinyc:
This will serve as a thread to discuss the 2020-29 population estimates.

Census will release the July 1, 2020 County and other estimates on Tuesday, May 4. I'm expecting that they will not be using real 2020 Census as a base, but 2010 instead. It will be interesting to see how, if at all they handle the differences between those estimates and the real census results, especially in the Northeast.

DINGO Joe:
US Births fall 4% in 2020 Down 142,00

Fell across every state, demo and age group.  Really can't blame it on the pandemic as only some December births could have been impacted.  When combined with a 530,000 increase in deaths, natural growth fell to 220,000 from 890,000 in 2019 and 1.5 million in 2010

In 2018, four states had more deaths than births WV, VT, NH and ME.  The map for 2020 looks like this




Blue=more deaths than births

Births

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr012-508.pdf

Deaths

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm

Skill and Chance:
Quote from: DINGO Joe on May 05, 2021, 02:50:43 AM

US Births fall 4% in 2020 Down 142,00

Fell across every state, demo and age group.  Really can't blame it on the pandemic as only some December births could have been impacted.  When combined with a 530,000 increase in deaths, natural growth fell to 220,000 from 890,000 in 2019 and 1.5 million in 2010

In 2018, four states had more deaths than births WV, VT, NH and ME.  The map for 2020 looks like this




Blue=more deaths than births

Births

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr012-508.pdf

Deaths

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm



Wow, from 4 states to that map in 2 years is depressing.

Tender Branson:
WV had 17.000 births last year and 26.000 deaths ...

DINGO Joe:
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 05, 2021, 11:48:33 AM

WV had 17.000 births last year and 26.000 deaths ...



Well, you're rounding things a bit far there, but they really weren't hit that hard by the COVID.  It's just the way their population pyramid is plus below average public health.

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