Hakudude
Newbie
Posts: 7
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« on: April 03, 2021, 08:29:49 AM » |
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I mean it was extremly close in 2016 but was the stare that shofted the most toward democrats What are the reasons ?
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Hakudude
Newbie
Posts: 7
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« Reply #7 on: April 04, 2021, 12:03:56 PM » |
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Are you asking why the State shifted so much to the left when it 1) reelected its GOP governor in a landslide 2) flipped both its houses to the GOP ?
Board: "2020 U.S. Presidential Election"
Yep, I meant the presidential election. Anyway, thanks for the answers it was really instructive.
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Motorcity
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,473
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« Reply #17 on: April 14, 2021, 08:17:31 AM » |
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Fursternino and Mikado nailed it. And it also explains the shift in other moderate to socially liberal suburban areas outside of New England.
Candidate Trump came off as moderate (though abrasive). President Trump was a (fake) right-winger through and through. Didn't matter that his conservative views were fake when he was appointing extremists to the courts. Also, I'd add that he did an even more incompetent job than people probably expected. Many of these people probably thought he was a clown but assumed he'd just let smart people actually govern. Covid handling made clear that wasn't the case.
I hate this so much. It infrutited me back in 2016 when people said Trump was a moderate who would make deals. And that Hillary was a republican But it must be nice to white and prilvaged
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prestructuralist
Newbie
Posts: 9
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« Reply #18 on: April 25, 2021, 07:52:46 AM » |
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Are you asking why the State shifted so much to the left when it 1) reelected its GOP governor in a landslide 2) flipped both its houses to the GOP ?
I'm still confused as to why #2 happened.
Moderate Suburbanites in the southern part of the state voted for GOP candidates on the state level as a "Check" on Joe Biden. Many of these suburbanites are Fiscally Conservative, Socially Liberal, and wanted Biden to appoint Liberals to SCOTUS while wanting the State Government to cut their taxes.
Worth remembering also that the GOP only won the popular vote for the State House by 2 percentage points and for the State Senate by ~3.5 percentage points. It's easy to frame this as some huge wave, but really they just won a ton of seats by a very narrow margin. Ticket splitting was certainly a dynamic here as you state (unclear whether actually 'check on Biden' or more just Sununu coattails), but so was gerrymandering and the element of chance conducive to wild swings associated with having so many tiny districts.
I also feel like with Trump's turnout there were likely a bunch of small districts that were flipped simply due to a bit more Republicans coming out than in 2018.
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