2021-2022 NFL Pick Em/Discussion Megathread

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Bucs tonight

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Bucs tonight

Sunday, September 12, 2021

These games are at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons FOX

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills CBS

Minnesota Vikings @ Cincinnati Bengals FOX

San Francisco 49ers @ Detroit Lions FOX

Arizona Cardinals @ Tennessee Titans CBS

Seattle Seahawks @ Indianapolis Colts FOX

Los Angeles Chargers @ Washington Football Team CBS

New York Jets @ Carolina Panthers CBS

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans CBS

These Games are at 4:25 PM

Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs CBS

Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots CBS

Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints FOX

Denver Broncos at New York Giants FOX

The following game is at 8:20 PM

Chicago Bears @ Los Angeles Rams NBC

Monday, September 13

Baltimore Ravens @ Las Vegas Raiders 8:15 PM ESPN/ABC

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Bears
Browns
Rams
Bills
Patriots
49ers
Steelers
Saints
Broncos
Vikings
Buccaneers
Chargers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Packers

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Schedule for Week 3

Thursday September 23

Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans 8:20 PM NFL Network

Sunday, September 26

Washington Football Team @ Buffalo Bills FOX

Chicago Bears @ Cleveland Browns FOX

Baltimore Ravens @ Detroit Lions CBS

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans CBS

Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs CBS

New Orleans Saints @ New England Patriots FOX

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants FOX

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers CBS

Arizona Cardinals @ Jacksonville Jaguars FOX

New York Jets @ Denver Broncos CBS

Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders CBS

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Rams FOX

Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings FOX

Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers NBC

Monday, September 27

Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys 8:15 PM ESPN

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Justin Tucker made a 66-yard field goal -- the longest in NFL history -- with no time left to give the Ravens a 19-17 win over the Lions.

On the same day that Matt Prater (who owned the previous record at 64 yards) tried a 68 yard FG that turned into an Iron Bowl-esque Kick Six.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

The Chiefs are in so much trouble they went 15)1 last yr and they play the Eagles next week they clearly aren't Superbowl contenders tight now

So, are the Bucks, Brady clearly fumbled the ball and back to his old self the way he played in Superbowl against Eagles

Brady passed for 500 yards in that Super Bowl.  Nick Foles just had the game of his life and Doug Pederson made a lot of aggressive decisions that mostly paid off.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Missed Thursday night because I was focused on going to Atlanta for the Phillies-Braves baseball game and just forgot.

Sunday, October 3rd
Washington @ Atlanta
Houston @ Buffalo
Detroit @ Chicago
Carolina @ Dallas
Indianapolis @ Miami
Cleveland @ Minnesota
NY Giants @ New Orleans
Tennessee @ NY Jets
Kansas City @ Philadelphia
Arizona @ LA Rams
Seattle @ San Francisco
Baltimore @ Denver
Pittsburgh @ Green Bay
Tampa Bay @ New England

Monday, October 4th
Las Vegas @ LA Chargers

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Seahawks tonight

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Seahawks tonight

Sunday, October 10

The following game is at 9:30 AM

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons NFL Network (in London)

The following games are at 1:00 PM

Green Bay Packers @ Cincinnati Bengals FOX

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings FOX

Denver Broncos @ Pittsburgh Steelers FOX

Miami Dolphins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers CBS

New Orleans Saints @ Washington Football Team CBS

Philadelphia Eagles @ Carolina Panthers FOX

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars CBS

New England Patriots @ Houston Texans CBS

The following games are at 4:05 PM

Chicago Bears @ Las Vegas Raiders CBS

Cleveland Browns @ Los Angeles Chargers CBS

The following games are at 4:25 PM

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys FOX

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals FOX

The Following game is at 8:20 PM

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs NBC

Monday, October 11

Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens 8:15 PM ESPN

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Buccaneers for tonight

[100% pro-life no matter what]

While it didn't work out for the Eagles last night, I wanted to note that I loved Sirianni's decision to try that 2 point conversion.  Going for 2 after cutting it from 14 to 8 is something analytics people have been clamoring for years about, and it's nice to see it finally starting to catch on a little more (even if the announcers were kind of dumbfounded about it).

Basically, it's that, if you make it, you only need an extra point to win, while, if you miss it, you can get a second shot.  Assuming you score twice (and using a 50% 2PC rate and 100% XP success rate to simplify things), your chances are this:

Go for 2:
50% Win in regulation
25% OT
25% Lose in regulation

Go for 1:
100% OT

[100% pro-life no matter what]

While it didn't work out for the Eagles last night, I wanted to note that I loved Sirianni's decision to try that 2 point conversion.  Going for 2 after cutting it from 14 to 8 is something analytics people have been clamoring for years about, and it's nice to see it finally starting to catch on a little more (even if the announcers were kind of dumbfounded about it).

Basically, it's that, if you make it, you only need an extra point to win, while, if you miss it, you can get a second shot.  Assuming you score twice (and using a 50% 2PC rate and 100% XP success rate to simplify things), your chances are this:

Go for 2:
50% Win in regulation
25% OT
25% Lose in regulation

Go for 1:
100% OT

I agree, and the rate of extra point misses this year makes going for 2 an even better decision!

Many years ago I attended a game in the original version of the WFL (World Football League).  That league did away with kicking the extra point entirely.  TDs scored 7 points and were followed by an "action point" try, which was like the current 2-pointer but worth only 1 point.

I went to an AAF game down in Birmingham in 2019, and they had mandatory 2 point conversions (but TDs were still only worth 6).

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Buccaneers for tonight

Sunday, October 17

Miami "@" Jacksonville [at London, UK]
Green Bay @ Chicago
Cincinnati @ Detroit
Houston @ Indianapolis
LA Rams @ NY Giants
Kansas City @ Washington
Minnesota @ Carolina
LA Chargers @ Baltimore
Arizona @ Cleveland
Las Vegas @ Denver
Dallas @ New England
Seattle @ Pittsburgh

Monday, October 18

Buffalo @ Tennessee

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Browns tonight

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Sunday/Monday games:

Packers
Titans
Falcons
Patriots
Panthers
Ravens
Eagles
Rams
Cardinals
Buccaneers
Colts
Seahawks

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Oops, I missed tonight, but the 1972 Dolphins get to pop their champagne

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Falcons
Bills
49ers
Browns
Eagles
Colts
Bengals
Rams
Chargers
Seahawks
Broncos
Buccaneers
Vikings
Chiefs

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Oops, I missed tonight, but the 1972 Dolphins get to pop their champagne

Alcohol consumption is an affront to the Lord.

For the record, I've personally never had a drink in my life.  I don't believe that alcohol is inherently sinful, but being drunk is, so I prefer to avoid that situation.  Plus, most men in my family have had addiction issues in their lives, so that's an added reason to just practice total abstinence from alcohol.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Bengals
Cowboys
Dolphins
Saints
Raiders
Patriots
Bills
Ravens
Eagles
Chiefs
Cardinals
Rams
Steelers

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Ravens tonight

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Ravens tonight

Sunday, November 14

Atlanta @ Dallas
New Orleans @ Tennessee
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
Cleveland @ New England
Buffalo @ NY Jets
Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay @ Washington
Carolina @ Arizona
Minnesota @ LA Chargers
Philadelphia @ Denver
Seattle @ Green Bay
Kansas City @ Las Vegas

Monday, November 15

LA Rams @ San Francisco

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Bills
Ravens
Browns
Titans
Packers
Dolphins
Eagles
Panthers
49ers
Raiders
Chiefs
Cardinals
Chargers
Buccaneers

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Lions
Cowboys
Bills

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Lions
Cowboys
Bills

Sunday, Nov. 28

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals 1:00 PM  CBS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts 1:00 PM  Fox
Carolina Panthers @ Miami Dolphins 1:00 PM  Fox
Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots  1:00 PM  CBS
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants  1:00 PM  Fox
Atlanta Falcons @ Jacksonville Jaguars  1:00 PM  CBS
New York Jets @ Houston Texans  1:00 PM  CBS
Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos  4:05 PM  CBS
Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers 4:25 PM  Fox
Minnesota Vikings @ San Francisco 49ers  4:25 PM  Fox
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens  8:20 PM  NBC

Monday, Nov. 29

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Football Team  8:15 PM  ESPN

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Buccaneers
Cardinals
Chargers
Vikings
Dolphins
Eagles
Colts
Raiders
Rams
Ravens
49ers
Chiefs
Bills