Wakie
YaBB God
Posts: 3,767
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« on: January 21, 2004, 05:44:41 PM » |
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It is way too early to start counting people out (aside from Sharpton & Kucinich who never stood a chance anyway).
Here's what NH means for the remaining ....
Leiberman -- I'd say Joe needs at least a solid 3rd place finish to stay in it. He's focused so much time and money there that if he doesn't come in at least 3rd he's done.
Kerry -- A NH win would immediately boost him into the stratosphere. Solid 2nd or 3rd place finishes will keep him in the hunt. A 4th or lower would drop him back to where he was before Iowa (on the verge of disaster).
Dean -- Anything less than a NH win will be a big blow to Dean. He suffers from being the early frontrunner ... they always run out of steam. If he finishes 4th or lower it would be catastrophic. Not enough to knock him out ... but it seriously damages his campaign.
Clark -- A win would move him into the spot of media darling. A 2nd or 3rd is the expected result. A 4th would be disappointing but not horrific. Anything lower and he drops.
Edwards -- If he does better than 4th it is big news and a win for him.
My NH prediction ....
1) Dean
2) Kerry
3) Clark
4) Edwards
5) Leiberman
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