My 2022 Gubernatorial Ratings.

[Meatball Ron]

Safe D: Illinois, New York, California, Hawaii, Colorado
Likely D: Minnesota, New Mexico, Oregon, Maryland, Massachusetts (without Baker), Connecticut, Rhode Island
Lean D: Maine, Vermont (without Scott)
Toss-Ups (Tilt D): Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, New Hampshire (without Sununu)
Toss-Ups (Tilt R): Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona
Lean R: Kansas
Likely R: Florida, Ohio, Massachusetts (with Baker)
Safe R: Iowa, Texas, Vermont (with Scott), New Hampshire (with Sununu), Idaho, Wyoming, Alaska, Alabama, Arkansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, South Dakota, South Carolina, Tennessee

Projected flips in bold.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wisconsin is not R state

[Progressive Pessimist]

Changes I would make:

Colorado: Safe D.
Florida: Safe R.
Iowa: Safe R.
Kansas: Lean R.
Maryland: Lean D.
New Hampshire: only a tossup without Sununu-safe R with him.
New Jersey: Likely D.
Ohio: Safe R.
Texas: Safe R.
Virginia: Likely D.
Wisconsin: Tilt R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

KS isn't Lean R wait for a poll just like Beshear can win in 2023 and neither is WI BLUE WAVE





2003/2027 Govs

[Chips]

Actually, There is one change I'll make right now. NJ from Lean confidence D to Strong confidence D. The GOP is quickly running out of time to make something interesting happen here. I'll keep VA as Lean for the time being.

https://www.270towin.com/2022-governor-election/Rgld.png

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Those are your Predictions

[Chips]

Those are your Predictions

Yes.

[Chips]

UPDATES:

CONFIDENCE MAP:

California: Strong D-Tossup (for whether to recall now, if Newsom hangs on, this instantly becomes Strong D again)

https://www.270towin.com/2022-governor-election/20pL.png

MAP IF I HAD TO PICK A WINNER FOR EVERY RACE:

California: Strong D-Lean D
Michigan: Lean D-Lean R

https://www.270towin.com/2022-governor-election/0GVn.png