2022 UTAH-CD-04 Erin Mendenhall vs Incumbent Burgess Owens
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  2022 UTAH-CD-04 Erin Mendenhall vs Incumbent Burgess Owens
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Poll
Question: Who will win?
#1
Burgess Owens
 
#2
Erin Mendenhall
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 3

Author Topic: 2022 UTAH-CD-04 Erin Mendenhall vs Incumbent Burgess Owens  (Read 948 times)
Utah Neolib
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« on: April 16, 2021, 08:49:31 PM »

Erin Mendenhall is the current mayor of Salt Lake City, Utah. 2022 will (most likely) be a GOP wave in the house. Burgess Owens, has views too far to the right to match the district. But enough with my view, what do you think?
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bagelman
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« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2021, 05:23:45 PM »

Greatly depends how much the state GOP tries to shore Owens up. If they allow a fair district, he's toast.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #2 on: April 17, 2021, 06:14:27 PM »

The highly R state legislature tries to gerrymander everything.
Can a state redistrict when they are not going to gain a electoral vote?

If the district remains the same shape it is now, who do you think will win?
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #3 on: April 17, 2021, 06:28:40 PM »

If Owens doesn’t get shored up then McAdams has the right of first refusal to that seat. Only if he declines can we talk about Mendenhall.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #4 on: April 17, 2021, 07:22:58 PM »

Ben McAdams got some job at University of Utah, I’m not sure if he wants to give that up
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Suburbia
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« Reply #5 on: April 18, 2021, 09:17:43 AM »

Mendehall by 3
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Stuart98
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« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2021, 01:32:19 PM »

The interesting thing about Utah redistricting is that Owens is only vulnerable in a gerrymandered map; in a fair map, it's one of Stewart/Moore who gets replaced with a Democrat. Owens' political base is the ruby red south SLCO suburbs, which shouldn't be in the same district as any of SLC.

With the current lines, Owens wins in even a neutral political environment; Mendenhall isn't especially popular and you have to remember that this was a Trump+9 district.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #7 on: April 18, 2021, 09:00:36 PM »

Is Mendenhall or Wilson more popular? I went with Mendenhall on this but I’m not sure who is the better candidate
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