USA 2020 Census Results Thread (Release: Today, 26 April)
Tender Branson:
Official Results:
Quote
APRIL 26, 2021 – The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the 2020 Census shows the resident population of the United States on April 1, 2020, was 331,449,281.
The U.S. resident population represents the total number of people living in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. The resident population increased by 22,703,743 or 7.4% from 308,745,538 in 2010.
Quote
Apportionment population:
331,108,434
The 2020 Census apportionment population includes the resident population of the 50 states, plus a count of the U.S. military personnel and federal civilian employees living outside the United States (and their dependents living with them) who can be allocated to a home state. The population of the District of Columbia is not included in the apportionment population.
Apportionment is the process of dividing the 435 memberships, or seats, in the U.S. House of Representatives among the 50 states. At the conclusion of each decennial census, the results are used to calculate the number of seats to which each state is entitled. Each of the 50 states is entitled to a minimum of one seat in the U.S. House of Representatives.
https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2021/2020-census-apportionment-results.html
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/2020/dec/2020-apportionment-data.html
https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/newsroom/press-kits/2021/20210426-apportionment-presentation.pdf
https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2021/04/2020-census-data-release.html
Pink Panther:
I am pretty pumped about any surprises, not going to lie.
Biden his time:
Overview of Expected Apportionment Changes between 2010 - 2020
The numbers below refer to the number of Congressional Districts expected in each state.
TX: 36 to 39 (+3)
FL: 27 to 29 (+2)
NC: 13 to 14 (+1)
AZ: 9 to 10 (+1)
CO: 7 to 8 (+1)
OR: 5 to 6 (+1)
MT: 1 to 2 (+1)
CA: 53 to 52 (-1)
NY: 27 to 26 (-1)
PA: 18 to 17 (-1)
IL: 18 to 17 (-1)
OH: 16 to 15 (-1)
MI: 14 to 13 (-1)
MN: 8 to 7 (-1)
AL: 7 to 6 (-1)
WV: 3 to 2 (-1)
RI: 2 to 1 (-1)
The data above is taken from Election Data Services' 2020 Reapportionment Study (April 01, 2020 variant), which takes place annually based on data provided by the Census Bureau's Vintage Population Estimates.
I've listed it above for the purposes of comparison with the actual results when they're released.
The main alternate possibilities are (only including those states for which a count of only 50,000 people over or under the projected amount could make a difference, listed in no particular order):
Alabama keeps its 7th Congressional District instead of losing one.New York loses two Congressional Districts instead of one, going down to 25.Montana does not gain a second Congressional District.Minnesota keeps its 8th Congressional District instead of losing one.Florida gains one Congressional District instead of two (as if lol), going up to 28.Idaho gains a 3rd Congressional District rather than staying stable.
Anything outside of this would be a rather large upset, considering the Census Bureau's estimates. Also, keep in mind that the alternate possibilities above can only occur in pairs (if one state unexpectedly gains or keeps a seat, another state will face a loss) due to the stable number of representatives in the U.S. House.
Will this thread be pinned to replace the 2010 - 2019 Estimates thread currently up?
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 15, 2021, 12:07:10 PM
...
Yo Tender it's been a while you may want to remove the "Today" from the title of this thread
OBD:
We better get that goddamned 6th District this time.
Tender Branson:
Quote from: Abdullah on April 15, 2021, 02:00:20 PM
Will this thread be pinned to replace the 2010 - 2019 Estimates thread currently up?
I would hope so.
The intercensal estimates are of no use anymore and need to be re-calculated, once the new census numbers are out.
Navigation
[0] Message Index
[#] Next page