Who wins the NH-HD 21 2021 Special Election?
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  Who wins the NH-HD 21 2021 Special Election?
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Poll
Question: Well?
#1
Wendy Thomas (D)
 
#2
Bill Boyd (R)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 15

Author Topic: Who wins the NH-HD 21 2021 Special Election?  (Read 366 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: April 13, 2021, 05:31:39 PM »
« edited: April 13, 2021, 06:56:06 PM by MT Treasurer »

This is today. Slightly R-leaning district if Iím not mistaken (does anyone have a link to US-PRES 2020 by legislative district?) in Hillsborough County (Merrimack) that became vacant after the death of the Speaker, Dick Hinch.

Thereís also an independent on the ballot.



IMO if Wendy Thomas wins, it will be because of her libertarian credentials.

Post your predictions here!
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I Have No Brain, Yet I Must Post
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« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2021, 06:54:40 PM »
« Edited: April 13, 2021, 08:00:35 PM by Make Democrats Have Standards Again »

The district is Hillsborough-21, more commonly known as Merrimack. Nice town, actually. It's a suburb of Manchester, and the 8th-largest town in the state. It's trending hard towards Democrats, but the town is ancestrally GOP and receptive to the Sununu mold.

In 2020, they voted Biden 52/46, Shaheen 56/44, Sununu 69/31, Pappas 50.5/49. The only
Democrat to hold on from 2018 was Rosemarie Rung, and they voted for Daniels 52/48 and Pignatelli 53/47.

In 2018, it voted for Pappas 53/47, Sununu 56/42, Chandley 50.4/49.6, and Pignatelli 51/49. We didn't have a Senate election that year, but Democrats split the 8 seats evenly with Republicans.

In 2016, they voted Trump 50.5/44, Sununu 53/43, Ayotte 53/43, Guinta 47/42/8. Republicans swept the legislature handily. Even Josh Moore, who was most famous for advocating sexually assaulting topless women, won over the nearest opponent 53%.

Gun to my head Boyd by 2. The town of Merrimack is still very receptive towards the GOP downballott and it'll take a while for trends to translate. Plus Sununu has actually taken the pandemic seriously.
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VAR
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« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2021, 07:04:00 PM »

What time will the polls close?
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« Reply #3 on: April 13, 2021, 07:28:46 PM »

Boyd+9.
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« Reply #4 on: April 13, 2021, 08:04:50 PM »
« Edited: April 13, 2021, 08:11:41 PM by Make Democrats Have Standards Again »

Turnout is very high. They actually ran out of ballots - expected 4,000 voters, got closer to 5,000.
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Matty
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« Reply #5 on: April 13, 2021, 08:29:00 PM »

Unofficial results from Newtown for #HD112:

Scott (R): 244 (51.2%)
Kapoor (D): 223 (46.8%)
Furrier (I): 7 (1.5%)
Others: 2 (0.5%)

This was a Biden precinct, so this is so far a small R overperformance. Still though, Monroe is the lion's share of the district.
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Matty
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« Reply #6 on: April 13, 2021, 08:33:30 PM »

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« Reply #7 on: April 13, 2021, 09:12:49 PM »

I will now accept my accolades.
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« Reply #8 on: April 13, 2021, 09:14:11 PM »

Unofficial results from Newtown for #HD112:

Scott (R): 244 (51.2%)
Kapoor (D): 223 (46.8%)
Furrier (I): 7 (1.5%)
Others: 2 (0.5%)

This was a Biden precinct, so this is so far a small R overperformance. Still though, Monroe is the lion's share of the district.
Where are you getting results for CT 112? I canít find anything.
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