306-232 maps
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  306-232 maps
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Author Topic: 306-232 maps  (Read 1012 times)
Chips
Those Chips
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« on: April 09, 2021, 04:27:53 PM »
« edited: April 09, 2021, 04:34:03 PM by Chips »

A lot of these may be moot if AL stays at 9 while NY drops to 27 but based on current expectations here's some 306-232 maps for 2024.





This one would require some GOP overperformance in the Northeast and redistricting in Nebraska to go favorably for the GOP.



This is one that would require re-districting to be favorable for Dems in ME-02.





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Chips
Those Chips
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2021, 04:33:26 PM »

Some 306-232 maps if the AL/NY thing comes true.











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Mr. Kanye West
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« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2021, 05:47:24 PM »

Lol no two Elections are the same, it's likely we get a 291 map or a 350 map
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Chips
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« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2021, 06:13:40 PM »

Lol no two Elections are the same, it's likely we get a 291 map or a 350 map

291 map:



350 map:



Are these correct?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #4 on: April 09, 2021, 07:28:46 PM »

This would be my guess

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DS0816
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« Reply #5 on: April 10, 2021, 12:43:22 AM »

No harm in imagining (this one for the Republicans):

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DS0816
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« Reply #6 on: April 10, 2021, 12:44:18 AM »

No harm in imagining (this one for the Democrats):

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Chips
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« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2021, 10:34:58 PM »

Now, The same map as 2016 aside from NE-02 still counts as 306-232.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2021, 10:58:33 PM »

No harm in imagining (this one for the Democrats):



What on earth are you smoking?
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #9 on: May 18, 2021, 09:14:27 AM »

Looks kind of weird, but not entirely impossible.



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Ferguson97
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« Reply #10 on: June 16, 2021, 11:19:35 PM »





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Roll Roons
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« Reply #11 on: June 16, 2021, 11:23:51 PM »

I just don't see how Arizona or Georgia would vote to the right of Texas.
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Mr. Kanye West
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« Reply #12 on: June 17, 2021, 04:35:00 AM »

OH is on the verge of flipping back D
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We're in Hillary Clinton's second term
UnvaccinatedNcircumcised
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« Reply #13 on: June 17, 2021, 03:18:26 PM »



I'm surprised this map hasn't been posted yet. Yeah, yeah, I know Trump 2016 was probably the best Republicans can hope for in Minnesota because muh Twin Cities and Hennepin County, but if Republicans continue to max out the white, working-class Rust Belt vote, I don't think its impossible (especially if Mike Lindell is on the ticket) for the GOP to win MN with a plurality. At the same time, AZ and NV are possible flips if the GOP continues to improve with both white and Hispanic voters and at least do "okay" in the suburbs. At the same time, NE-02 is nothing but a liberal college town, so I can see the GOP losing NE-02 along with NH and ME-AL (it all goes back to educated, liberal, and/or suburban white voters). Finally, due to black voters, GA is gone for Republicans and by 2032 will be as blue as VA and CO.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #14 on: June 18, 2021, 03:57:13 PM »



I'm surprised this map hasn't been posted yet. Yeah, yeah, I know Trump 2016 was probably the best Republicans can hope for in Minnesota because muh Twin Cities and Hennepin County, but if Republicans continue to max out the white, working-class Rust Belt vote, I don't think its impossible (especially if Mike Lindell is on the ticket) for the GOP to win MN with a plurality. At the same time, AZ and NV are possible flips if the GOP continues to improve with both white and Hispanic voters and at least do "okay" in the suburbs. At the same time, NE-02 is nothing but a liberal college town, so I can see the GOP losing NE-02 along with NH and ME-AL (it all goes back to educated, liberal, and/or suburban white voters). Finally, due to black voters, GA is gone for Republicans and by 2032 will be as blue as VA and CO.
How does Mike Lindell help in Minnesota, lol. He probably turns off more voters there than he brings out
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Motorcity
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« Reply #15 on: June 19, 2021, 11:55:57 PM »

I just don't see how Arizona or Georgia would vote to the right of Texas.
In 2020, AZ and GA were true tossups. They could remain that way for a few more elections. WI was a true tossup in 2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020

I could see a 2028 election where Texas finally becomes a true tossup and being won by Democrats while losing GA and AZ

That said, its likely GA and AZ will become more Democratic as their metro areas grow
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CentristRepublican
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« Reply #16 on: June 23, 2021, 02:53:12 PM »

Lol no two Elections are the same, it's likely we get a 291 map or a 350 map

On the contrary - 2020 was exactly the opposite of 2016 in terms of electoral votes: Trump won 306 (before faithless elecotrs) to Clinton's 232 (before faithless electors) in 2016; and he won 232 in 2020 to Biden's 306.
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CentristRepublican
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« Reply #17 on: June 23, 2021, 02:56:05 PM »

No harm in imagining (this one for the Democrats):



Impossible (red MA; MD; NY; HI; NJ; ME and blue AK; KS; NE; MT; SC; UT?!) but imaginative.
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CentristRepublican
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« Reply #18 on: June 23, 2021, 02:58:48 PM »


Not if Trump runs in 2024.
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