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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, ON Progressive)
  Why did California go GOP in 76 and 88?
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Author Topic: Why did California go GOP in 76 and 88?  (Read 8710 times)
Governor PiT
Robert Stark
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« Reply #25 on: July 05, 2006, 01:00:24 pm »

How will CA tred in he future? Will it keep going left?
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revas
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« Reply #26 on: July 05, 2006, 01:11:25 pm »

How will CA tred in he future? Will it keep going left?

I think so...
According to Census Bureau projections, California may not win a single seat in 2010 reaportionement.
With an ever growing immigration, that means that middle class families are continuing to escape the state.

Then : Less and less white middle class families + growing number of Asian Americans (less christian and more secular than other ethnic groups) = Solid blue state.

I wonder what will be the effect of a crash of the housing bubble. Will middle class families come back to California, and then make it a competitive state again ?

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Gustaf
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« Reply #27 on: July 07, 2006, 09:19:38 am »

How will CA tred in he future? Will it keep going left?

I think so...
According to Census Bureau projections, California may not win a single seat in 2010 reaportionement.
With an ever growing immigration, that means that middle class families are continuing to escape the state.

Then : Less and less white middle class families + growing number of Asian Americans (less christian and more secular than other ethnic groups) = Solid blue state.

I wonder what will be the effect of a crash of the housing bubble. Will middle class families come back to California, and then make it a competitive state again ?



Asian Americans are very meritocratic though. And they also get screwed by affirmative action. I don't think they're given as a Democratic voter group.
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Alcon
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« Reply #28 on: July 08, 2006, 05:34:18 am »

It's actually interesting how solid Asian-Americans are as a Dem voting group.  Many of them are fairly traditionalist, with economically conservative beliefs (especially against affirmative action), and with higher-than-average affluency rates.
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Republican06
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« Reply #29 on: August 16, 2006, 08:13:20 pm »

California used to be a pretty moderate to conservative state before the radical liberals took over in the late 90's. Ronald Regan was elected governor twice and carried the state twice. In 1988 George Bush campaigned as a strong on defense and tough on crime candidate who also promised to be a kinder and gentler President. They elected Pete Wilson as governor twice as well. However since 92 with Cliton I dont see California voting Republican
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