What is the closest current equivalent of Virginia '03? (user search)
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  What is the closest current equivalent of Virginia '03? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What is the closest current equivalent of Virginia '03?  (Read 2049 times)
Utah Neolib
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« on: April 18, 2021, 02:05:05 PM »

And it's just going to get more skewed until/unless TX left of the nation actually happens!

Unless the D margin in CA is cut in half and there’s a D collapse in New England and the Northeast by the late 2020s, I agree with this. TX will basically hold the key to any future realignment/seismic shift of electoral coalitions, not unlike the role it played as a bellwether in previous realignment periods (e.g. the Solid South, the 'New' R South). So much depends on whether it remains competitive-ish (with either a very slight D or, more likely, R lean) or whether it’s about where CA was at this point in 1986.

In terms of a state undergoing a really dramatic ideological shift, then UT going from one of the most reliably 60%+ R states in the nation to a progressive stronghold in little more than a decade or two would fit the bill even more than AK & HI and would arguably represent one of the most rapid electoral transitions in the nation's history.




I just want to see Utah to blue..... ahhhhhhhhhhhhhh

I haven’t heard much about an R shift in Hawaii, could you elaborate on that?
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