Yes. I'll even go so far as to say I'll be very surprised if it's not within 3 points. For now, I believe 2020 was an anomaly.
It's clear, though, that something has changed in Florida. For some reason, between 2016 and 2018, it went from consistently being about 3 points to the right of the nation to consistently being about 7 points to the right of the nation, and it's not really clear to me why.
I think FL is just destined to be Lean R. The state voted 5-7% to the left of the nation in 2010/14, and 3-4% to the right in 2004/08/12/16, and 7-8% to the right in 2018/20.
Poll
