kwabbit
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,791
|
 |
« on: April 08, 2021, 11:28:45 PM » |
|
I don't know how much DeSantis would benefit from FL being his home state, but maybe he gains 3 points of margin. If he's the nominee my baseline Florida prediction is R+8.
If he's not it's R+3.5. I think the Republican nominee will on average do a little better nationally but worse relatively in Florida. Trump was quite a good fit for the state, rural Whites and the Cubans both liked him, but I expect Dem investment to decrease here so that will counter the worse fit.
|
Poll
