More likely to flip? Virginia or Oregon? (user search)
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April 28, 2024, 07:54:45 PM
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  More likely to flip? Virginia or Oregon? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
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Question: ?
#1
Virginia
 
#2
Oregon
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 79

Author Topic: More likely to flip? Virginia or Oregon?  (Read 2853 times)
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« on: April 07, 2021, 07:28:49 PM »
« edited: April 07, 2021, 07:46:26 PM by Monstro Believed in a Blue Georgia (and a Blue Texas) »

This forum has a weird obsession with Oregon becoming a swing state. It's not going to happen. At least not in the next 10-20 years.

Al Gore's 0.4% win was 21 years ago (Funny how folks overlook Nader's 5% there) and using the Proud Boys as an excuse is like saying California is gonna flip soon because of the number of hate groups in Southern California.

And despite conventional wisdom, Californians (Especially left-leaning types) aren't just moving to Texas & Arizona.

When a Democratic Presidential candidate wins Oregon by 4%, then I'll believe it.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2021, 01:30:44 PM »
« Edited: April 08, 2021, 04:05:40 PM by Monstro Believed in a Blue Georgia (and a Blue Texas) »

If Republican inroads with Asian American voters increase, Oregon could get interesting down the road.

Unlikely for both states, but I'd be more panicked about Washington in such a scenario.

Besides, Biden did as well as Obama '08 among Asians. Whose to say "Republican inroads" are really just Asians gravitating to incumbents (Such as the last few elections in Hawaii)?
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« Reply #2 on: May 12, 2021, 06:13:45 PM »


Ok.
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