NH-Sen : Hassan underwater in a pro dem poll :

[Xing]

It’s possible Democrats narrowly win one Republican-held seat (most likely PA) while narrowly losing NH, but if Democrats flip all of NC/PA/WI we’re looking at a D+4 environment at best for Republicans, and all of the Democratic incumbents will win by at least several points.

[Devils30]

Nothing from change research belongs here ever again.

[Woody]

This is what happens when your voting record looks like you're representing California.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not so much if that, it's buyers remorse from Biden, that he alone will take care of Covid and Covid cases have gone up

[OSR stands with Israel]

By this point, it's possible to lose this seat in NH, while winning three seats elsewhere (WI, PA and NC for example).

No, it isn’t. Democrats will be lucky to gain even a single House seat if they’re losing a federal race in NH. There’s no way they’re flipping 3 Senate seats in states that are significantly to the right of NH while losing the latter.

I agree on WI and NC but I think its easier to see Sununu winning in NH than the GOP winning in PA in a non wave year.

- PA being a purely open seat will depend far more on what the national environment is while in NH the race being incumbent vs incumbent in a non presidential year will make that race far more prone to depend on personal popularity than in PA.

- NH being a far smaller state allows for the personal popularity factor to matter even more as a swing of 20k votes in a state like in PA isnt much at all but in NH could be the deciding factor even though 20k is a larger percentage in NH than PA.

-  the PA GOP is more incompetent as well

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

By this point, it's possible to lose this seat in NH, while winning three seats elsewhere (WI, PA and NC for example).

No, it isn’t. Democrats will be lucky to gain even a single House seat if they’re losing a federal race in NH. There’s no way they’re flipping 3 Senate seats in states that are significantly to the right of NH while losing the latter.

I agree on WI and NC but I think its easier to see Sununu winning in NH than the GOP winning in PA in a non wave year.

- PA being a purely open seat will depend far more on what the national environment is while in NH the race being incumbent vs incumbent in a non presidential year will make that race far more prone to depend on personal popularity than in PA.

- NH being a far smaller state allows for the personal popularity factor to matter even more as a swing of 20k votes in a state like in PA isnt much at all but in NH could be the deciding factor even though 20k is a larger percentage in NH than PA.

-  the PA GOP is more incompetent as well

Lol Fetterman has the same Approvals as Casey, both will be easily elected in 2022/2024

[MT Treasurer]

By this point, it's possible to lose this seat in NH, while winning three seats elsewhere (WI, PA and NC for example).

No, it isn’t. Democrats will be lucky to gain even a single House seat if they’re losing a federal race in NH. There’s no way they’re flipping 3 Senate seats in states that are significantly to the right of NH while losing the latter.

I agree on WI and NC but I think its easier to see Sununu winning in NH than the GOP winning in PA in a non wave year.

- PA being a purely open seat will depend far more on what the national environment is while in NH the race being incumbent vs incumbent in a non presidential year will make that race far more prone to depend on personal popularity than in PA.

- NH being a far smaller state allows for the personal popularity factor to matter even more as a swing of 20k votes in a state like in PA isnt much at all but in NH could be the deciding factor even though 20k is a larger percentage in NH than PA.

-  the PA GOP is more incompetent as well

Yes, I could see NH and PA both flipping narrowly, but that clearly wasn’t what Laki, who unironically (?) entertained a scenario in which Democrats are flipping three R-held seats while losing NH, meant.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If D's lose Control of Congress, Manchin will be the biggest reason why the Ds did by not lifting the Filibuster

Jan 6th changed him, guess what Boehner is out there now, campaigning against D's and he sees an opening

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Reupping what I said:

Junk poll. This will become Safe D once Hassan reminds all the Angry New Hampshire Women that Sununu is part of the same party as notorious Homophobe Young Kim.

You were correct. You may now accept your accolades.