Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,685
Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52
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« on: April 22, 2021, 11:13:36 PM » |
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Bernie goes 3-0 comfortably in the first states in this scenario. This probably means Buttigieg withdraws before South Carolina, which in theory helps Biden...but with Bloomberg campaigning in Nevada..Biden could end up slipping to third in Nevada. With that, Clyburn may just stay neutral. Biden probably still wins SC because it's too AA for him not to....but it would be a much reduced win from RL. Steyer probably snags a couple delegates, meaning he sticks around for Super Tuesday. Klobuchar stays in too, and Bloomberg with his large war chest probably does as well.
So we'd get a pretty large field heading into Super Tuesday
Biden
Sanders
Warren
Bloomberg
Klobuchar
Steyer
And with Biden far weaker than RL, we get a much more split result on Super Tuesday. Could go any number of ways from there. Fairly Likely it ends in a full fledged contested convention, with Bernie in the lead but notably short of a majority.
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