Dittman research: Murkowski is set to lose

[DownWithTheLeft]

Look, you admit to partisan cheerleading!  That basically means what you say has no value.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I didn't say I was partisan cheerleading. Most of my predictions correspond to the polls, most of yours don't,  I don't see that is partisan cheerleading. I said I am optimistic about Dems winning seven seats, but most pundits have the Dems winning 5-7 which is what my map basically call for, while MI and AK are tossups. And I have support for predicting AK and MI, Wikipedia and the Rothenberg report. Being optimistic isn't partisan cheerleading, just like your map is the more pestimistic approach, mine is the optimistic approach to the democratic gains.
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[HardRCafé]

I don't think the Republicans will win this seat even if Knowles win.

That makes no sense.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Overton/Olawakandi/MLEFLO1 never really makes sense.  He did for about two weeks and then stopped.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I meant that even if Palin wins, I don't think the republicans can count out Knowles yet. And I do make sense. I misworded it. Sometimes you type and you don't answer questions thoroughly. As far as me not making after two weeks, I have the Dems picking up about 5-7 seats what most pundits say they will. I may pick more or pick less depending on the trends of the polls.

[DownWithTheLeft]

To you, DailyKos is all pundits.  It also seems after the new approval ratings that the Dems maybe not having the advantage they thought they did.  Things change, just not as rapidly as you change them.  With no poll you change AK from Rep to Dem.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No, I said pundits include Cook report and Stuart Rothenberg report. He did a report last week that says the Dems will pick up 5-7 seats. I changed AK, but I also left it as tossup. Again I said the Dems will win 5-7 seats and alll of my predictions no matter how many times I change it falls within that range.

[minionofmidas]

Knowles getting a bump from the primary?

Just looking generically, which one gets a bump:
1.) Fmr. Governor
2.) Little-known challenger who beats incumbent governor

?

Option 2 in case your not sure

A "little known" challenger does not beat an incumbent governor. Palin obviously is not little known within Alaska.

[minionofmidas]

Look, you admit to partisan cheerleading!  That basically means what you say has no value.

What ridiculous nonsense. If that were true, most of this board and all of your posts here had no value either.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was saying that everyone gets a bump from the primary. And Knowles having had his primary victory will close the gap between himself and Palin it isn't going to stay 13 points, I expect it to close within single digits.