Survey USA: Claire McCaskill(D) edges out Jim Talent(R) by 1 point

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: Missouri Senator by Survey USA on 2006-08-14

Summary: D: 47%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Sam Spade]

Ah, yes, the classic definition of the toss-up race this time out.

[MarkWarner08]

Ah, yes, the classic definition of the toss-up race this time out.

All close races in Missouri seem to be decided by 49%-48%. I have McCaskill winnning 49% to 48% for Talent. The gender gap seems to be reopening -- a bad sign for the GOP.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I thought that people would vote the same way they would vote for president. Evidently not.  They are much more concerned on the economy in these red states than voting for commander in chief. When they vote, they vote their pocket book for congress, and for president, in OH and MO, they vote for commander in chief. I say this race tilts towards McCaskill.

[Eraserhead]

Ah, yes, the classic definition of the toss-up race this time out.

Yep. Total toss-up.

[Adlai Stevenson]

Talent has a lead of nine points amongst male voters, the gender gap is 20% in the race, i.e. McCaskill needs to turn out women to win.  I think she can and will win this race.  My prediction:

MCCASKILL (D) 49%
TALENT (R) 48%