Peruvian Elections and Politics: Boluarte era, political crisis continues

[CumbrianLefty]

We know that Fujimori will be bad, there is more chance of persuading Castillo not to be bad.

That's how I see it anyway.

[CumbrianLefty]

Apparently a new poll (I know) has Castillo leading Fujimori by 61-38

[CumbrianLefty]

Also, RV's comparison is apt. This Quechua girl mocking Limans wouldn't be out of place at a Trump rally owning libs. When people feel their interests aren't represented they'll go with whoever at least gives lip service, and after a while just knowing that those who ignored and insulted them are afraid is all they need. Maoism might be an insane ideology but when they're the only ones promising a better life in any given mountain village I have a hard time blaming the peasants for jumping on board. It's unfortunate that the policies that would actually help such people are generally tied in with corrupt elites.

Do you mean liberalism and economic freedom? Because Peru is the ultimate stereotype of laissez-faire economics, deregulation and basically a free-for-all for business. Peruvian state is really small.

In other news, Castillo apparently is moderating drastically his rhetoric so there's a chance he will be another Humala. 

Not a surprise, and suggests that they really do want to win.

[CumbrianLefty]

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-28/castillo-s-lead-narrows-in-peruvian-vote-simulation-for-runoff

Latest poll by Gestion has

Castillo   42.6
Fujimori  41.7

The narrowing of the gap seems to be influenced by the Shining Path terrorist attack.

Isn't it obvious to anybody with their wits about them that SP et al would prefer a Fujimori win?

[CumbrianLefty]

Indeed, didn't bin Laden say he wanted a Bush defeat before the 2004 election?

(when, of course, the opposite was pretty obviously the case in reality)

[CumbrianLefty]

Is there any possibility that this attack was a false flag?

I do think it was a far-left group with the obvious intention of stimulating Keiko’s election, because the only opportunity they have of being relevant is fighting against a Fujimori government. Fascists in power is always the strongest argument in favor of communism.

I mean, they killed a small group of people (how many, only 6?) to “send people the message of not voting Fujimori”. If you’re part of a terrorist group like Sendero Luminoso or any other, you must know that never intimidates people at all and it will actually embolden them to do the complete opposite of what you’re “ordering” them.

Kinda like Bush was the man of the dreams of Terrorists in the Middle East post 9/11 because he validated their arguments about the US. It’s old strategy.

Or Al-Qaida and Spain just before the 2003 elections (which didn't work because the right-wing government insisted on blaming the ETA/Basques despite the evidence and looking ridiculous doing so).

2004

Still think that Aznar might have won that one had he levelled with the voters from the outset.

[CumbrianLefty]

It might come down to which polling error is bigger - understating Fujimori due to "shy" voters (they do seem to be a thing here) or not fully expressing Castillo's support with poor rural people.

[CumbrianLefty]

That also has to be very much a possibility, even if only to a modest degree.

[CumbrianLefty]

Castillo only spent $8,000 and won? lololo

What, seriously??

[CumbrianLefty]

So basically the attempted coup has failed?

[CumbrianLefty]

Heh, your new username

[CumbrianLefty]

Heh, your new username

I’m reveling in how much of a loser she is and always will be.

Great, isn't it?

[CumbrianLefty]

Though isn't she going to try to string this out for a few months yet?

[CumbrianLefty]

Madrid premier and Spain's rightwing populist leader claims in the regional assembly that 44,000 dead voted in the Peruvian elections. The ONPE rebukes her and asks Isabel Díaz Ayuso not to spread fake news

https://twitter.com/ONPE_oficial/status/1415792150646861826?s=19

Lmao, what a great and cool commitment to democracy the Spanish right has.

Apple never falls that far from the tree etc etc.