Peruvian Elections and Politics: Boluarte era, political crisis continues

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Keiko Fujimori joined the group of leaders who didn't accept the defeat: Aécio Neves, Juan Guaidó, Jeanine Añez and Donald Trump

Guaidó?

Yeah, Guaido never ran in/lost any presidential election. He claims the 2018 election was fraudulent (which is fair) and therefore that the presidency has been vacant since then and that he should be Acting President (since president of legislature is in the line of succession).

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

https://twitter.com/Datoworld/status/1403888452710588418

[Adam Griffin]

39 more JNEs have come in since last update: this netted Keiko a measly 669 votes, with the margin now at 49,420. Keiko's on track to net another 5,500 or so before this is over.

Code:

43 - PERU	(Keiko 78-22)
43 - LIMA	
	1	San Juan de Lurigancho	(Keiko 58-42)
	1	Subquillo				(Keiko 76-24)
	3	San Isidro				(Keiko 88-12)
	3	San Borja				(Keiko 84-16)
	1	San Luis				(Keiko 70-30)
	3	La Victoria				(Keiko 70-30)
	8	Lince					(Keiko 75-25)
	7	Pueblo Libre			(Keiko 77-23)
	5	Magdalena del Mar		(Keiko 79-21)
	11	San Miguel			(Keiko 79-21)

13 - EXPAT (Keiko 73-27)
8 - CANADA					(Keiko 81-19)
3 - AUSTRIA					(Keiko 53-47)
2 - UK						(Keiko 69-31)

[Prince of Salem]

Keiko and allies tried to nullify 802 actas, but that seems to have failed. RIP

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Keiko Fujimori joined the group of leaders who didn't accept the defeat: Aécio Neves, Juan Guaidó, Jeanine Añez and Donald Trump

Guaidó?

Yeah, Guaido never ran in/lost any presidential election. He claims the 2018 election was fraudulent (which is fair) and therefore that the presidency has been vacant since then and that he should be Acting President (since president of legislature is in the line of succession).

Yeah, the biggest difference between Guaido (as well as the woman who ran against Lukashenko) is that the Venezuelan election was almost certainly actually fraudulent.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Congrats to Keiko - at least she improved in three consecutive presidential elections!

[Sestak]

Congrats to Keiko - at least she improved in three consecutive presidential elections!

I think she's actually ending up at a slight regression at the end of all of this (2016 49.88 -> 2021 49.87 or so), though it is close enough that it could go either way.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Congrats to Keiko - at least she improved in three consecutive presidential elections!

I think she's actually ending up at a slight regression at the end of all of this (2016 49.88 -> 2021 49.87 or so), though it is close enough that it could go either way.

Ah. I misremembered the 2016 winning margin for PPK to be 50k instead of 40k.

[Red Velvet]

I know Castillo won, what I want to know is whether they’re gonna steal from him or not lol. This is PERU we’re talking about, it was always written on the wall that they would try to find an excuse to revert the election results. Even if it was by a larger margin you know they wouldn’t accept having the most left-wing president of the continent who is saying he will nationalize a bunch of stuff and rewrite the neoliberal constitution (Luis Arce, Alberto Fernandez look like boring moderates now lol).

[Dr. MB]

Keiko and allies tried to nullify 802 actas, but that seems to have failed. RIP

Since you're actually from Peru who did you vote for?

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

I know Castillo won, what I want to know is whether they’re gonna steal from him or not lol. This is PERU we’re talking about, it was always written on the wall that they would try to find an excuse to revert the election results. Even if it was by a larger margin you know they wouldn’t accept having the most left-wing president of the continent who is saying he will nationalize a bunch of stuff and rewrite the neoliberal constitution (Luis Arce, Alberto Fernandez look like boring moderates now lol).

He has just enough support from the legislature to avoid the possibility of impeachment right out of the gate, but not enough to actually achieve anything close to a leftist or even social democratic agenda. He beat Fujimori by (probably) the closest margin yet when she's at her most visibly corrupt and unpopular so he doesn't exactly have an overwhelming popular mandate.  He also lacks the institutional support to seize power like Chavez, so if he achieves anything legally it's more likely to be about "dangerous foreign gender ideology" or expelling Venezuelans than it is to be about nationalizing mines.

I think there's a chance he tries to push something too radical through, gets rejected, pushes his luck and gets impeached but more likely is that he just doesn't live up to expectations. Reforming the constitution when you beat Peru's Most Hated Woman by a decimal point, a majority of your own legislature thinks you're basically Chavez and the military is run by virulent anti-Communists is pretty close to impossible unless Castillo improves his popularity dramatically and beats Chile in a war or something.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

I wonder if the prospect of President Boluarte will give the right wing in the legislature pause when considering impeachment, since I imagine the only people who’d actually prefer her to him are the PL members of Congress. Or I guess they’ll just impeach both of them.

[Adam Griffin]

Current margin is 44,816. Looks like Tender is holding up counting in Austria.

Give or take, Keiko will close the gap by another ~1,000 votes from what is left.

Code:

9 - ALL (Keiko 75-25)

         6 - PERU (ALL LIMA; Keiko 79-21)

         3 - EXPAT (ALL AUSTRIA; Keiko 53-47) 					

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Current margin is 44,816. Looks like Tender is holding up counting in Austria.

Give or take, Keiko will close the gap by another ~1,000 votes from what is left.

Code:

9 - ALL (Keiko 75-25)

         6 - PERU (ALL LIMA; Keiko 79-21)

         3 - EXPAT (ALL AUSTRIA; Keiko 53-47) 					

I’m seeing 13 left on the ONPE site. Those 9 plus 2 more in the UK, 1 in Greece, and 1 in Sweden.

[CumbrianLefty]

Heh, your new username

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Heh, your new username

I’m reveling in how much of a loser she is and always will be.

[Adam Griffin]

Current margin is 44,816. Looks like Tender is holding up counting in Austria.

Give or take, Keiko will close the gap by another ~1,000 votes from what is left.

Code:

9 - ALL (Keiko 75-25)

         6 - PERU (ALL LIMA; Keiko 79-21)

         3 - EXPAT (ALL AUSTRIA; Keiko 53-47) 					

I’m seeing 13 left on the ONPE site. Those 9 plus 2 more in the UK, 1 in Greece, and 1 in Sweden.

Those must have been re-added for some reason? Now there are 7 (3 in Austria, 1 in Sweden, 1 in Greece and 2 in UK).

LATE EDIT: plus the 6 in Lima, for a total of 13 still. Looks like the 4 in Sweden/Greece/UK magically reappeared over the night.

[CumbrianLefty]

Heh, your new username

I’m reveling in how much of a loser she is and always will be.

Great, isn't it?

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Someone in La Republica or El Comercio or whatever (I think the latter?) said the JNE doesn’t expect to be finished with everything (i.e. all the challenges) until July. Ugh. Hopefully once Castillo turns out to not be much of a threat fujimorismo will disappear for good.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

100% actas contabilizadas. Castillo 50.125% Keiko 49.875%. Final margin is 44,058 votes.

[Adam Griffin]

100% actas contabilizadas. Castillo 50.125% Keiko 49.875%. Final margin is 44,058 votes.

[Boobs]

It's okay Keiko. Don't give up hope. I'm sure 2026 will be your year!

[Astatine]

All good things come in threes, as Germans love to say.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Heh, your new username

I’m reveling in how much of a loser she is and always will be.

Great, isn't it?

Yeah, it’s definitely a solid one. Just like her losing margins.

[DrScholl]

Keiko Fujimori is the Dino Rossi of South America, except for a higher stakes office. I think she would have come up short regardless, but the fact that she finally admitted that she would pardon her father definitely costs her votes.