Peruvian presidential and legislative elections (April 11 and June 6, 2021)
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  Peruvian presidential and legislative elections (April 11 and June 6, 2021)
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Author Topic: Peruvian presidential and legislative elections (April 11 and June 6, 2021)  (Read 20400 times)
Extremely Beatable Titan Keiko Fujimori
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #700 on: June 10, 2021, 01:43:02 PM »

Well, this is happening:


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Prosecutor requests that Keiko Fujimori be held in preventive detention for the Odebrecht case, according to Andina agency

Quote
Prosecutor José Domingo Pérez, head of the special team that works on investigations related to alleged acts of corruption at Odebrecht, asked a judge to revoke the summons with restrictions that was issued against Keiko Fujimori, presidential candidate of Fuerza Popular, and impose again preventive detention against her.

As reported on Thursday by the state-run Andean Agency, she is accused of allegedly violating the rules of conduct imposed by the court that ordered her release when she met with a witness in the case. CNN is seeking Fujimori's reaction.

(...)

Lmao the “meeting with a witness in the case” was her holding a press conference with him (Miguel Torres) to try and throw out 200.000 ballots in the south. The official request says she was “captured on camera” meeting with him like it’s some sting operation and then just has screenshots from the news.

Also some judge granted Vladimir Cerrón’s request for habeas corpus and (it seems) has annulled his prison sentence, pending appeal, so people are mad about that.
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Extremely Beatable Titan Keiko Fujimori
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« Reply #701 on: June 10, 2021, 04:00:03 PM »

The very last few ballots arrived from way deep in the Amazon, up near Ecuador. 100% processed, Castillo’s margin is just under 70,000 votes (nice).
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Southern Deputy Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #702 on: June 10, 2021, 05:04:50 PM »

I spent $8,000 on a national presidential campaign and all I got was this lousy t-shirt (and the presidency)
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Frodo
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« Reply #703 on: June 10, 2021, 05:38:00 PM »

Anybody?


Open in new tab for full resolution.

What explains Fujimori's strength in the eastern/Amazonian portion of Peru? 

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kaoras
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« Reply #704 on: June 10, 2021, 06:00:42 PM »



My guess would be that those departments have a relatively low % of indigenous people. Uyacali (16%) and especially Loreto (9%) are way below the national average (24%) and is clear that Castillo did better among indigenous.
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Frodo
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« Reply #705 on: June 10, 2021, 06:23:59 PM »

Anybody?




What explains Fujimori's strength in the eastern/Amazonian portion of Peru? 




My guess would be that those departments have a relatively low % of indigenous people. Uyacali (16%) and especially Loreto (9%) are way below the national average (24%) and is clear that Castillo did better among indigenous.

Ah, thanks!
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Red Velvet
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« Reply #706 on: June 10, 2021, 06:43:59 PM »

Anybody?




What explains Fujimori's strength in the eastern/Amazonian portion of Peru? 





My guess would be that those departments have a relatively low % of indigenous people. Uyacali (16%) and especially Loreto (9%) are way below the national average (24%) and is clear that Castillo did better among indigenous.


Here in Brazil Bolsonaro/the right has a lot of support in Amazonas because of anti-environmental stances. There’s at least some level of perception that they’re more isolated from the country and that exploring resources is better path for development of the region.

Not sure whether there’s a similar thinking in Peru, but that Amazonas Peruvian area borders the Brazilian Amazonas state.
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Southern Deputy Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #707 on: June 10, 2021, 10:21:14 PM »

Anybody?




What explains Fujimori's strength in the eastern/Amazonian portion of Peru? 





My guess would be that those departments have a relatively low % of indigenous people. Uyacali (16%) and especially Loreto (9%) are way below the national average (24%) and is clear that Castillo did better among indigenous.


Here in Brazil Bolsonaro/the right has a lot of support in Amazonas because of anti-environmental stances. There’s at least some level of perception that they’re more isolated from the country and that exploring resources is better path for development of the region.

Not sure whether there’s a similar thinking in Peru, but that Amazonas Peruvian area borders the Brazilian Amazonas state.
What did Castillo say on topic of the environment in the second round campaign?
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FL & OH Are Gone, Ya Dinguses
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« Reply #708 on: June 11, 2021, 01:03:14 AM »

Current global map:

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kaoras
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« Reply #709 on: June 11, 2021, 06:34:36 AM »


Castillo won Egypt, Jordan and Croatia
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #710 on: June 11, 2021, 06:38:34 AM »

How did black Peruvians vote in this election?
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buritobr
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« Reply #711 on: June 11, 2021, 04:37:54 PM »

Keiko Fujimori joined the group of leaders who didn't accept the defeat: Aécio Neves, Juan Guaidó, Jeanine Añez and Donald Trump
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #712 on: June 11, 2021, 04:45:01 PM »

Keiko Fujimori joined the group of leaders who didn't accept the defeat: Aécio Neves, Juan Guaidó, Jeanine Añez and Donald Trump

Don't forget AMLO (before 2018) and Netanyahu (Now).
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Frodo
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« Reply #713 on: June 11, 2021, 04:45:25 PM »

Anybody?

What explains Fujimori's strength in the eastern/Amazonian portion of Peru?  





My guess would be that those departments have a relatively low % of indigenous people. Uyacali (16%) and especially Loreto (9%) are way below the national average (24%) and is clear that Castillo did better among indigenous.


Here in Brazil Bolsonaro/the right has a lot of support in Amazonas because of anti-environmental stances. There’s at least some level of perception that they’re more isolated from the country and that exploring resources is better path for development of the region.

Not sure whether there’s a similar thinking in Peru, but that Amazonas Peruvian area borders the Brazilian Amazonas state.
What did Castillo say on topic of the environment in the second round campaign?

What did he say about it?
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Southern Deputy Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #714 on: June 11, 2021, 05:08:07 PM »

Anybody?

What explains Fujimori's strength in the eastern/Amazonian portion of Peru? 





My guess would be that those departments have a relatively low % of indigenous people. Uyacali (16%) and especially Loreto (9%) are way below the national average (24%) and is clear that Castillo did better among indigenous.


Here in Brazil Bolsonaro/the right has a lot of support in Amazonas because of anti-environmental stances. There’s at least some level of perception that they’re more isolated from the country and that exploring resources is better path for development of the region.

Not sure whether there’s a similar thinking in Peru, but that Amazonas Peruvian area borders the Brazilian Amazonas state.
What did Castillo say on topic of the environment in the second round campaign?

What did he say about it?
I mean, I didn't know, that's why I asked in thread.
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Frodo
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« Reply #715 on: June 11, 2021, 05:13:37 PM »

Anybody?

What explains Fujimori's strength in the eastern/Amazonian portion of Peru?  





My guess would be that those departments have a relatively low % of indigenous people. Uyacali (16%) and especially Loreto (9%) are way below the national average (24%) and is clear that Castillo did better among indigenous.


Here in Brazil Bolsonaro/the right has a lot of support in Amazonas because of anti-environmental stances. There’s at least some level of perception that they’re more isolated from the country and that exploring resources is better path for development of the region.

Not sure whether there’s a similar thinking in Peru, but that Amazonas Peruvian area borders the Brazilian Amazonas state.
What did Castillo say on topic of the environment in the second round campaign?

What did he say about it?
I mean, I didn't know, that's why I asked in thread.

Oh, I thought you were making a statement with a question.  
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Pyro
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« Reply #716 on: June 11, 2021, 05:19:29 PM »

Could someone more knowledgeable speak to this? I was unaware it was possible to extend the deadline for contested votes, and apparently the judge has ties with Fujimori. Is this a soft coup attempt or is this unfounded?

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MR. NAPHTHALI BENNETT
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« Reply #717 on: June 11, 2021, 05:43:36 PM »

Could someone more knowledgeable speak to this? I was unaware it was possible to extend the deadline for contested votes, and apparently the judge has ties with Fujimori. Is this a soft coup attempt or is this unfounded?



The JNE plenum apparently just reversed this decision.
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Extremely Beatable Titan Keiko Fujimori
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« Reply #718 on: June 11, 2021, 07:47:46 PM »
« Edited: June 11, 2021, 08:11:49 PM by Extremely Beatable Titan Keiko Fujimori »

Could someone more knowledgeable speak to this? I was unaware it was possible to extend the deadline for contested votes, and apparently the judge has ties with Fujimori. Is this a soft coup attempt or is this unfounded?



It’s not really possible, and as Nathan said they just reversed it after massive backlash - from both sides (obviously Castillo’s supporters were not happy about it, but some fujimoristas were also displeased because it meant Perú Libre could attempt to challenge votes in pro-Keiko areas as well). The only JNE judge to vote to continue the extended deadline was Luis Arce Córdova, the one with corruption accusations and ties to corrupt former constitutional court justice Cesar Hinostroza.

So thankfully that part of the roller coaster ride is over.
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FL & OH Are Gone, Ya Dinguses
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #719 on: June 11, 2021, 11:03:22 PM »
« Edited: June 11, 2021, 11:16:39 PM by FL & OH Are Gone, Ya Dinguses »

As predicted multiple days ago, we're on track for a 45k-vote Castillo win. Current margin is 51082: the remaining 45 JNEs appear to be on track to net Keiko another 2k votes, and Peru (67/69 stations remaining are in Lima; the other 2 in Keiko strongholds) will net her another 4k on top of that.

EXPAT JNES - 45
11 Argentina   
8 Canada   
4 Germany   
4 Spain      
4 Switzerland   
3 Austria   
2 UK         
2 Paraguay      
1 Italy         
1 Belgium      
1 Colombia      
1 Panama   
1 Greece   
1 Sweden   
1 Chile   

PERU JNES - 69
67 Lima
1 Piura
1 La Libertad
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Extremely Beatable Titan Keiko Fujimori
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« Reply #720 on: June 11, 2021, 11:48:12 PM »

As predicted multiple days ago, we're on track for a 45k-vote Castillo win. Current margin is 51082: the remaining 45 JNEs appear to be on track to net Keiko another 2k votes, and Peru (67/69 stations remaining are in Lima; the other 2 in Keiko strongholds) will net her another 4k on top of that.

EXPAT JNES - 45
11 Argentina   
8 Canada   
4 Germany   
4 Spain      
4 Switzerland   
3 Austria   
2 UK         
2 Paraguay      
1 Italy         
1 Belgium      
1 Colombia      
1 Panama   
1 Greece   
1 Sweden   
1 Chile   

PERU JNES - 69
67 Lima
1 Piura
1 La Libertad

Funnily enough, Keiko’s team was only able to officially challenge 151 actas by the deadline on Wednesday, so even assuming those actas are all 100% for Castillo, 100% turnout, and all annulled (none of which will happen), it won’t even make a difference if that projection holds up.
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CumbrianLeftie
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« Reply #721 on: June 12, 2021, 09:11:17 AM »

So basically the attempted coup has failed?
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FL & OH Are Gone, Ya Dinguses
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #722 on: June 12, 2021, 10:46:50 AM »

All of Spain, Argentina, Chile and Italy came in over the night: these were the most favorable bulk of JNEs remaining for Castillo. Keiko only gained 93 votes from these 17 JNEs (current margin is 50989), at roughly 51-49 Keiko. No new domestic JNEs have been counted since last update.

EXPAT JNES - 28
8 Canada
4 Germany
4 Switzerland
3 Austria
2 UK
2 Paraguay
1 Belgium
1 Colombia
1 Panama
1 Greece
1 Sweden

PERU JNES - 69
67 Lima
1 Piura
1 La Libertad
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MR. NAPHTHALI BENNETT
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« Reply #723 on: June 12, 2021, 12:03:01 PM »

So basically the attempted coup has failed?

To whatever extent it was an attempted coup rather than "just" corrupt and biased election administration, yeah.
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crals
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« Reply #724 on: June 12, 2021, 02:16:21 PM »

Keiko Fujimori joined the group of leaders who didn't accept the defeat: Aécio Neves, Juan Guaidó, Jeanine Añez and Donald Trump
Guaidó?
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