Peruvian Elections and Politics: Boluarte era, political crisis continues
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icc
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« Reply #1175 on: January 20, 2023, 05:27:21 PM »

A good read on the crisis here:
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/peru/perus-democratic-dysfunction
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #1176 on: January 20, 2023, 06:15:48 PM »

Rapist Congressman Freddy Díaz was not expelled today. 60 votes in favor, 2 against, 21 abstentions - not enough to remove him. Alberto Otárola was meant to propose a confidence vote today but Perú Libre legislators blocked him from the floor.

By the way, the confidence vote ended up passing the next day and Diaz was removed from office later on after backlash. Thankfully.
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Lumine
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« Reply #1177 on: January 20, 2023, 06:49:51 PM »

After a break for the holidays, protests came back with a vengeance. Not just in the south - including the by now usual storming of airports - but by reaching Lima over the past couple of days (including fires in the historic center of the capital). Sadly, more casualties.

Thus far Boluarte has held firm - to put it mildly - and refused to yield. From what I can ascertain from the press, a ton of controversy and really violent rhetoric over the protests, their endgame, police tactics, the role of Bolivia (?) and the eventual elections.

I'm afraid it's going to get uglier before there's anything resembling an exit to Peru's political - or rather, institutional - woes.
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Red Velvet
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« Reply #1178 on: January 20, 2023, 09:09:14 PM »
« Edited: January 20, 2023, 09:14:22 PM by Red Velvet »

Massive crisis of representation is a common theme in western or western-related countries these days, we’re just seeing it in a country as politically fragmented and with no strong leadership like Peru.

I always had sympathy for Castillo in the sense that I didn’t really see him as a dictator wannabe with what he was doing, he mostly was trying to get minimal governability in a system that was EXTREMELY harshly against him from the get-go. That said, he committed a very dumb mistake by giving his opposition what they wanted him to give them which shows he’s not fit to run the country anyway.

I get that there was no way to strongly defend what he was doing but inside all the context surrounding it all, it was extremely clear he wasn’t the main danger to political institutions. It was a reactive action, which doesn’t change how wrong it was but allows people to get better perspective.

But still it’s not surprising to see Indigenous Peruvians to get that angry with their vote being ripped off because it was something disrespected before the guy even assumed, people were already speculating how much he would last just after he got elected. That’s not normal, the problem was always in the fragility of Peru’s political system. So weird how the country seems vaccinated/adapted to political chaos though, as it has no big effect on economical stability.

As someone who had similar feelings of utter disgust with the congress disrespect with the people’s democratic choice in 2016 after Dilma’s white coup here (or impeachment), I strongly sympathize with the Peruvian protesters who were ignored and made invisible in the middle of all this. New elections immediately really should be the path but even then it will be useless if the winner isn’t respected again because of lack of support from congress.

It doesn’t really sound democratic at all to just constantly impeach and repeat elections until you finally get the result some group wants either.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #1179 on: January 21, 2023, 12:47:59 PM »

Social organizations leading the ongoing march to Lima have put out a statement calling for the resignation of Boluarte and congressional leadership, elections this year, and a referendum on a constituent assembly (the latter demand, a longtime goal of the left, has grown in prominence in the past few days with the protesters’ arrival in Lima). Notably no mention of Castillo. Police invaded the grounds of San Marcos University - the oldest in the Americas - with a tank to dislodge protesters who were being welcomed there by students.
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #1180 on: January 21, 2023, 03:15:00 PM »

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-64232230

Never was an "i told you so" so clear as now.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #1181 on: January 21, 2023, 05:01:26 PM »
« Edited: January 21, 2023, 05:10:08 PM by H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY »

Massive crisis of representation is a common theme in western or western-related countries these days, we’re just seeing it in a country as politically fragmented and with no strong leadership like Peru.

I always had sympathy for Castillo in the sense that I didn’t really see him as a dictator wannabe with what he was doing, he mostly was trying to get minimal governability in a system that was EXTREMELY harshly against him from the get-go. That said, he committed a very dumb mistake by giving his opposition what they wanted him to give them which shows he’s not fit to run the country anyway.

I get that there was no way to strongly defend what he was doing but inside all the context surrounding it all, it was extremely clear he wasn’t the main danger to political institutions. It was a reactive action, which doesn’t change how wrong it was but allows people to get better perspective.

But still it’s not surprising to see Indigenous Peruvians to get that angry with their vote being ripped off because it was something disrespected before the guy even assumed, people were already speculating how much he would last just after he got elected. That’s not normal, the problem was always in the fragility of Peru’s political system. So weird how the country seems vaccinated/adapted to political chaos though, as it has no big effect on economical stability.

As someone who had similar feelings of utter disgust with the congress disrespect with the people’s democratic choice in 2016 after Dilma’s white coup here (or impeachment), I strongly sympathize with the Peruvian protesters who were ignored and made invisible in the middle of all this. New elections immediately really should be the path but even then it will be useless if the winner isn’t respected again because of lack of support from congress.

It doesn’t really sound democratic at all to just constantly impeach and repeat elections until you finally get the result some group wants either.

I don’t think new elections could realistically be held immediately. The electoral organisms would need time to prepare and last month they said December of this year would be the earliest they could manage. When Sagasti took office the elections were already scheduled (in fact he had been running for Vice President and had to drop out), and the last time this happened was under Paniagua in a very different scenario. I think the earlier elections are - beyond a certain time frame, essentially late 2023 or early 2024 - the more it privileges established parties such as Fuerza Popular, Acción Popular, etc.

(Also the statutory minimum is 9 months according to the Ley Orgánica Electoral, which would have to be amended. Unrealistic in addition to unwise.)
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MRCVzla
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« Reply #1182 on: February 01, 2023, 11:13:42 PM »

Crisis continues and the pression to Boluarte' resigns goes more every day as the deadly protests, she wanted to Congress to move again the date of the early election to later this year, but the impopular parliament has not reached an agreement on the issue, the problem its more on the left who wants elections AND a constitutional referendum/Constitutional Assembly/whatever to change the Constitution.
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« Reply #1183 on: February 25, 2023, 04:32:47 AM »



Seems Peruvians agree with me and not with atlas.
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Red Velvet
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« Reply #1184 on: July 13, 2023, 02:06:26 PM »

So, how is Female Peruvian Michel Temer currently doing?



It’s the exact same scenario of the left hating them because they couped/impeached the elected incumbent while the right hates them for not being a radical and closer to an establishment centrist.
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PSOL
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« Reply #1185 on: July 13, 2023, 02:34:15 PM »

A shame Boluarte will finish her term
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jaichind
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« Reply #1186 on: July 13, 2023, 02:40:47 PM »

Why is it every Peru Prez always ends up with an approval rating in the teens
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Sir John Johns
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« Reply #1187 on: September 08, 2023, 03:36:02 PM »

So while the economy minister has announced a downward revision of this year’s GDP growth (from the initially projected 2.5% to only 1.1%), the Peruvian Congress has found nothing more urgent than to approve a motion paving the way for the removal of the entire 7-member National Board of Justice (JNJ), the independent body in charge of appointing and sanctioning judges and prosecutors. The move has even been criticized by the local office of the United Nations as posing a potential threat against the independence of the judiciary system and the principles of separation and equilibrium of powers.



The motion to start a parliamentary review of the JNJ and potentially fire its members has been introduced by a Fujimorista congresswoman and approved by 78 out of 130 congressmen, the bulk of them being constituted by the new so-called fujicerronista which has taken control of the Congress’ bureau (mesa directiva) on last 26 July, on the occasion of its yearly renewal.

The slate (‘list 1’) constituted then by an unlikely alliance between Fujimori’s FP and other right-wing minor parties on one hand and Vladimir Cerrón’s Marxist PL on the other received indeed the support of 77 congressmen while only 39 votes went for the sole opposing slate (‘list 2’) which was supported by the centrist AP, the center-left JPP as well as the leftist Bloque Magisterial and Perú Bicentenario, two splits of PL.

The new bureau of the Congress, constituted by an APP president, a FP first vice-president, a PL second vice-president and an AP third vice-president, is an incredible assortment of clowns and criminals, two facing investigation in one or (way way) more corruption cases (hence why they are interested into dismantling the independent judiciary).


* The new president of the Congress and next-in-line for presidential succession in case of an impeachment of Boluarte is Alejandro Soto (Alianza para el Progreso), a congressman from Cusco who before his election to Congress in 2021 was a TV journalist.

At the time of his election as president of the Congress, Soto had some 55 investigations (the recordman of the current Congress) opened against him for a very large variety of crimes ranging from fraud and forgery of documents to illicit appropriation, extortion and usurpation of functions.

Several new ones have been added since as he has been also accused of having plagiarized his doctoral thesis and having hired in his parliamentary office a 25-year-old woman whose only qualification seems to be the fact she is his own sister-in-law.

A fantastic argument advanced by Luis Aragón (AP), the opponent of Soto in the election of president of Congress, to present his candidacy as stronger than the one of Soto, has been: ‘There is one judicial investigation opened against me, there are fifty-five opened against my colleague Soto. Obviously the difference is abysmal’ (Aragón is indeed investigated in the case of vote-buying on behalf of the Castillo administration and has faced suspicions of corruption due to his participation to a trip to Spain entirely paid by the Huawai company).

Soto has also sued fourteen journalists because he has been unhappy with their coverage of his judicial cases. Back in 2021, Soto became infamous when, while at the same time hosting a Cusco TV station political broadcast and running for Congress, he decided to interview himself:



Possibly the next president of Peru...


* The first vice-presidency has gone to Hernando Guerra-García (Fuerza Popular), a businessman who has been part of four or five different political parties before joining FP and working on Keiko Fujimori’s 2021 presidential campaign.

Elected a congressman for Lima the same year, he hold until his election as first vice-president the job of parliamentary spokesman of FP, in which office he constantly railed against the purported stealing of the 2021 presidential election by Castillo and PL and announced Keiko should be the FP candidate in the next presidential election. Guerra-García is also one of the signatories of the far-right Madrid Charter denouncing the evilness of ‘socialism’ and ‘communism’ in the Ibero-Sphere, a signature that apparently doesn’t preclude doing parliamentary deals with PL, currently the biggest fan-club of Fidel Castro and Hugo Chávez in Peru.

Guerra-García has been forced to publicly apologize earlier this year for an incident that happened in June 2022, an incident very illustrative of how serious he is taking his job of congressman: while participating to an online session of a parliamentary commission, he accidentally activated the camera of his laptop, revealing he was sunbathing on a beach and wearing sunglasses and a sun hat.


* The second vice-presidency of the Congress has gone to Waldemar Cerrón (Perú Libre), a congressman from Junín but above all the brother of Vladimir Cerrón, the dear leader of PL.

The Cerrón bros attempted to justify their betrayal of the ‘left-wing’ slate and their inclusion into the Fujimorista-supported ‘list 1’ by claiming such decision is enabling the historical entry of a representative of the ‘popular left’ in the bureau of the Congress and would pave the way for the realization of PL’s pipe-dream: the summoning of a Constituent Assembly.

However Keiko vetoed such summoning shortly after the renewal of the bureau and, when the distribution of the offices in the parliamentary commissions subsequently took place, FP managed to get the president of the constitution commission while PL failed to receive any of the mattering offices in said commission.

Posted then by Vladimir, between a ranting against the 'caviar' left and a praise of the Cuban Revolution:



Quote
We must leave the culture of a left born only to oppose, the left needs to prepare to govern. Participation in the mesa directiva is comparable to participation in a commission, a parliament or a political party system, where are all the representations.

Yeah, a cruel lesson from the Castillo administration, the ‘left’ should ‘prepare to govern’ before winning a presidential election. I’m not sure voters will give another try to PL, however.

The ideological justifications provided by Cerrón to justify the parliamentary deal with Fujimoristas have nonetheless failed to convince his party’s own caucus as four congressmen decided to walk out in protest leaving the PL with only 12 congressmen, down from 37 at the start of the legislature.

Waldemar Cerrón is currently investigated for presumed money laundering in relation to the alleged illegal financing of the PL’s past electoral campaigns.


* Finally, the third vice-presidency is now hold by Rosselli Amuruz, the daughter of a Fujimorista congressman in the 1990s, who has been herself elected a congresswoman from Lima in 2021 for Avanza País.

Amuruz has been involved in various controversies ranging from accusations of having largely plagiarized a draft bill redacted by a former congressman during the previous legislature for her own draft bill to allegation her brother's company has be awarded seven public contracts since 2021, something which is violating the legal provision prohibiting relatives of congressmen to obtain contracts with the Peruvian state.

But above all, Amuruz has been heavily criticized for her utter disdain towards the health regulations implemented during the Covid-19 pandemic. In August 2021, a video was leaked in the medias showing the congresswoman celebrating her birthday during a party given in a Lima hotel where social distancing measures weren’t respected. Amuruz tried to justify her behavior by pretending the party was organized by her friends and that it was a way ‘to reactivate economy’. The salsa band which played at the birthday party was subsquently invited by Amuruz to the Legislative Palace to receive a decoration for ‘Musician’s Day’.

In early January 2022, just after Amuruz had declared being positive to coronavirus, the press revealed she had went to Punta Cana in Dominican Republican for New Year’s Day and participated again to a party where basic social distancing measures were ignored. Meanwhile, remember, Peruvian schools remained closed during two years…

More worryingly, Amuruz sponsored in last January a drafted bill to shorten the terms in office of the independent electoral authorities, a bill labeled as unconstitutional by legal experts and suspected of being an attempt to take control of the organization of the next elections.


Finally, an article from last August summarizing the long series of parliamentary defections that has took place since the beginning of the legislature.

Quote
Precarious parliament. Perú Libre started with 37 and now there are only 12 cerronistas remaining. Acción Popular went from 16 to 7. The non-affiliated at this moment are constituting the second largest force with 17.

The Congress has been in office since only two years and there have been already 51 congressmen who have resigned from the bench they began their parliamentary work. An extremely high number, a clear expression of the acute political crisis in the country.

The legislature started with nine benches (an already high number) and, at this day, there are officially twelve benches. The coming New Constitution bench, as announced, will formalize today its request for recognition, which would rise the number of parliamentary benches to thirteen.

Quote
Out of the nine benches that inaugurated the Congress in July 2021, the hardest hit by resignations has been Perú Libre. They were 37 and now there are only 12 left. The management of the bench by the leadership of cerronismo has been the main motive of constant defections (the last one was the consolidation of the fujicerronista alliance).

Acción Popular has became the second bench with the most losses. Out of 16 elected, only 7 are remaining. Renovación Popular lost five members. This was the bench with the first resignations, happening as soon as they were sworn.

APP lost four. Fuerza Popular, Avanza País, Somos Perú and Podemos Perú also registered resignations. Only Juntos por el Perú didn’t have defectors, although this doesn’t reflect a solidity in the relation between the bench and the party.

The request for recognition of the ‘Socialist New Constitution’ bench has ultimately been rejected but its five members (all former PL congressmen) are still trying to obtain an official status for their caucus. Also Perú Bicentenario had been on the verge of losing official status after the resignation of one of its congressmen, reducing the number of its members below the required minimum number (five congressmen). Fortunately for Perú Bicentenario, the congressman reversed his ‘irrevocable’ resignation, preventing the bench to join Perú Democrático and Integridad y Desarrollo on the list of the disappeared bench of the current legislature.
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Sir John Johns
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« Reply #1188 on: October 03, 2023, 03:19:58 PM »

* The first vice-presidency has gone to Hernando Guerra-García (Fuerza Popular), a businessman who has been part of four or five different political parties before joining FP and working on Keiko Fujimori’s 2021 presidential campaign.

Elected a congressman for Lima the same year, he hold until his election as first vice-president the job of parliamentary spokesman of FP, in which office he constantly railed against the purported stealing of the 2021 presidential election by Castillo and PL and announced Keiko should be the FP candidate in the next presidential election. Guerra-García is also one of the signatories of the far-right Madrid Charter denouncing the evilness of ‘socialism’ and ‘communism’ in the Ibero-Sphere, a signature that apparently doesn’t preclude doing parliamentary deals with PL, currently the biggest fan-club of Fidel Castro and Hugo Chávez in Peru.

Guerra-García has been forced to publicly apologize earlier this year for an incident that happened in June 2022, an incident very illustrative of how serious he is taking his job of congressman: while participating to an online session of a parliamentary commission, he accidentally activated the camera of his laptop, revealing he was sunbathing on a beach and wearing sunglasses and a sun hat.

He abruptly died last week, the consequence of a cardiac decompensation that hit him while he was on his way to go by car to a convention (‘Perumin 2023’) organized by the mining lobby in Arequipa. After Guerra-García had collapsed in a small locality named Punta de Bombón (Arequipa Department), the person traveling with him bring the unconscious congressman to the only health center of the place but found it closed with no doctor to examine Guerra-García. Indeed, due to lack of financing and a shortage in doctors, the community is unable to operate a health center 24 hours a day. The unconscious Guerra-García was subsequently bring to the next closest medical center in Mollendo, about one half-hour by car from Punta de Bombón. There, the doctors could only pronounced the congressman dead.

The death of Guerra-García is highlighting the dilapidated state of the Peruvian public health system, in particular outside Lima, with lack of doctors (especially specialist doctors), shortage in medications and vaccines, absence of basic necessary equipment and insufficient opening hours and geographical coverage. The problem is blamed on the lack of public investment and financing, abuse of short-term contracts in the management of public health workers, excessive bureaucracy, reliance on the (interested) ‘generosity’ of private actors (the Punta de Bombón used to be partly financed by a mining company), politicization and incompetence of the local authorities in the management of the healthcare sector (the contract with the mining company was terminated by a former Arequipa governor without explanation, presumably because of his anti-extractivist views) and corruption (said governor has since been removed for bribery and is now facing a trial for corruption).

Members of the Congress now should elected a successor to Guerra at the position of first vice-president; the alternate of Guerra – a former member of the communist Revolutionary Vanguard turn an interior minister under Toledo turn a Fujimorist hack – has already been sworn as a titular congressman.

Quote
* Finally, the third vice-presidency is now hold by Rosselli Amuruz, the daughter of a Fujimorista congressman in the 1990s, who has been herself elected a congresswoman from Lima in 2021 for Avanza País.

Amuruz has been involved in various controversies ranging from accusations of having largely plagiarized a draft bill redacted by a former congressman during the previous legislature for her own draft bill to allegation her brother's company has be awarded seven public contracts since 2021, something which is violating the legal provision prohibiting relatives of congressmen to obtain contracts with the Peruvian state.

But above all, Amuruz has been heavily criticized for her utter disdain towards the health regulations implemented during the Covid-19 pandemic. In August 2021, a video was leaked in the medias showing the congresswoman celebrating her birthday during a party given in a Lima hotel where social distancing measures weren’t respected. Amuruz tried to justify her behavior by pretending the party was organized by her friends and that it was a way ‘to reactivate economy’. The salsa band which played at the birthday party was subsquently invited by Amuruz to the Legislative Palace to receive a decoration for ‘Musician’s Day’.

In early January 2022, just after Amuruz had declared being positive to coronavirus, the press revealed she had went to Punta Cana in Dominican Republican for New Year’s Day and participated again to a party where basic social distancing measures were ignored. Meanwhile, remember, Peruvian schools remained closed during two years…

More worryingly, Amuruz sponsored in last January a drafted bill to shorten the terms in office of the independent electoral authorities, a bill labeled as unconstitutional by legal experts and suspected of being an attempt to take control of the organization of the next elections.

Amuruz has just been embroiled into a new scandal related to a fiesta: the party she was attending for the birthday of her presumed partner (a former congressman) ended with a guest being shot to death by a man during a dispute involving a woman. The murderer is, according to the Peruvian police, a member of the Los Malditos de Bellavista criminal organization (specialized into contract killing), raising question about why such individual was attending the birthday party of Amuruz’s partner.
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MRCVzla
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« Reply #1189 on: March 06, 2024, 02:29:35 PM »

Peruvian Congress has approved the return of bicameralism, as an "express" constitutional reform, they needed 2/3 in two votes, the first one in November and the second was today: 91 for, 29 against, 1 abstention in its second vote, the new Senate will be composed by 60 members meanwhile the Congress will still be at 130 seats, also its returning the inmediate reelections for legislators, all this in force at 2026.

More info at RPP Radio news site (in Spanish): https://rpp.pe/politica/elecciones/bicameralidad-en-el-congreso-legisladores-aprueban-en-segunda-votacion-cambio-a-sistema-con-dos-camaras-noticia-1539043

Also there are changes at the Council of Ministers, due to a controversy thanks to an audio leak to links into a young woman who obtained State contracts after meetings with him, PM Alberto Otárola has resigned, President Boluarte has nominated diplomat and former representative at the OAS Gustavo Adrianzén has the new PM.

Boluarte currently has a disapproval of 83.7% according a CPI opinion poll.
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