The Mikado
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« on: April 07, 2021, 03:08:18 PM » |
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The fact that just about everything in the bill is severable is important.
Honestly, a lot of the For the People Act will get struck down, especially just about everything having to do with campaign finance reform, which the Court is incredibly skeptical of as a topic. However, the redistricting requirements for Congressional seats should pretty easily pass muster. Roberts has again and again been all "Congress can set requirements for Congressional redistricting, but they haven't, and we're not going to step in and do it for them."
Of course, as people have said already, there'll be no bar on state legislative partisan gerrymandering, so that'll still be fair game.
One of the interesting ones will be the For the People Act's requirement that people who are on parole and probation should be allowed to vote in federal elections. Congress has significant power over federal elections and that should be enforceable, but it'll create absurdities in states like Texas where people on parole or probation are barred from voting. Enfranchising them for federal races will lead to absurdities like next year's midterms, with no Presidential or Senate race on the ballot, under HR 1 people on parole in Texas will go to vote and only have their Congressional race on an otherwise blank ballot.
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