2016: President Romney vs. Hillary Clinton
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March 29, 2024, 10:48:13 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016: President Romney vs. Hillary Clinton
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Author Topic: 2016: President Romney vs. Hillary Clinton  (Read 398 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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« on: March 27, 2021, 02:24:36 PM »

Say Romney wins in 2012 with this map:



Closest state is CO, which Romney just barely wins along with OH, VA, and FL.

However, Democrats hold the Senate, which prevents Romney from getting much done legislatively. To make things worse for him, 2014 is a blue wave year, with Democrats taking back the House, holding Senate seats in states like CO, IA, and NC, and even defeating Mitch McConnell in KY.

Going into the 2016 election, Romney’s personal popularity is lukewarm at best. He is perceived as a dull, “do nothing” president and a vulnerable incumbent. As in our timeline, Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination, and early polls show her with a modest lead over Romney nationally and in most swing states. What happens? And do you think this timeline would actually be better than the real one in any case?
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #1 on: March 27, 2021, 07:14:12 PM »

Romney wins easily given the economic recovery from 2012-2016, ISIS wouldn’t be nearly as big of a problem since Romney deals with it earlier so I think this would be 1996 redux





Also if Stein gets to 5%+ in states like OR than states like OR could be extremely close too
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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2021, 02:41:02 AM »

If it plays out as you said:



Hillary Clinton: 274 electoral votes
President Romney: 264 electoral votes

If OSR's theory of the economy doing well prevails and Romney turns out to be a fairly successful president:



President Romney: 327 electoral votes
Hillary Clinton: 211 electoral votes

If Romney completely collapses:



Hillary Clinton: 348 electoral votes
President Romney: 190 electoral votes
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2021, 01:39:11 PM »

Anyone who can defeat Obama defeats Clinton easily.  Romney with 300+ EV and a bigger than 2004 win in the PV.
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