FL - St. Pete Polls: DeSantis and Fried tied at 45%

[Chips]

While I agree with the consensus that DeSantis should be favored, A lot of people forget that not only did DeSantis have low approvals throughout much of last year, Fried has proven herself capable to FL voters. (Despite winning her race by just 0.08%) This could prove to be a closer race than many think.

Scott had low approvals throughout much of his term & Bill Nelson had previously proven himself capable to FL voters, but look at how that turned out for the latter in a literal blue-wave year. I don't doubt that there will be a pervasive horse-race narrative forced upon this race, but I have no faith whatsoever in the final result - a DeSantis win - being relatively close.

That's fair. I was just raising the point that Fried has proven herself to be able to win statewide in FL (even if it was by a paper-thin margin) and DeSantis approval ratings while pretty good now have not been super great over the last year and could go down another downward spiral. I'll say DeSantis beats Fried by a margin slightly greater than Trump's win over Biden, 3.5%. But a 5-6% range win is entirely possible as well.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Watch FL, and OH, the Rs don't have a monopoly on those states, they are still purple states

[Alben Barkley]

God it would be so funny if he lost this after all the presidential hype.

It (probably) won't happen, but still, would be hysterical.

[Roll Roons]

God it would be so funny if he lost this after all the presidential hype.

It (probably) won't happen, but still, would be hysterical.

This is probably nowhere close to accurate. For some reason, Florida polls suck even when Trump's not on the ballot.

[KaiserDave]

DeSantis will win easily and continue to do horrible things.

[2016]

God it would be so funny if he lost this after all the presidential hype.

It (probably) won't happen, but still, would be hysterical.

This is probably nowhere close to accurate. For some reason, Florida polls suck even when Trump's not on the ballot.

This is the same Pollster who told us that Biden would win Pinellas County by high single Digits!
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=410047.0
There was another Poll from them who had Biden up 13 in Pinellas. I mean LOL!

[TodayJunior]

God it would be so funny if he lost this after all the presidential hype.

It (probably) won't happen, but still, would be hysterical.

This is probably nowhere close to accurate. For some reason, Florida polls suck even when Trump's not on the ballot.

Polling here tends to suck because there are so many new people moving here from everywhere (Northeast, Midwest, Puerto Rico, etc.) There are so many cross-currents cancelling each other out, it's hard to get an accurate read on the current electorate. In general, you can count on both parties having high floors (47-48% of the vote); that remaining 4-5% slice is based on turnout, not really ideological.  

[Mr.Phips]

This pollster sucks.  They had Biden ahead in every poll and had Dems leading in a bunch of state legislative seats that they ended up losing badly.  Throw it in the trash.

[It’s so Joever]

Florida is slowly becoming the new Texas and Texas is becoming the new Florida.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Florida is slowly becoming the new Texas and Texas is becoming the new Florida.

Quinnepiac University polls FL and TX if they don't have Abbott or DeSantis losing they're not losing, they are just as golden as PPP is in the Rust belt that have Evers leading and Nelson leading

They have 0 polls come out and have Biden at 48% that's not good enough to win TX and FL both Abbott and DeSantis and DeWine are at 50%

DeWine is more likely at 60%