NC - Meredith College: Jackson, Beasley and Smith deadlocked | Trump, McCrory lead

[VAR]

March 12-15
699 registered voters
MoE: 3.5%

Democratic primary
312 registered voters

Jackson 13%
Beasley 13%
Smith 11%
Watkins 4%
Someone else 3%
Don’t know 57%

Republican primary
217 registered voters

Trump 27%
McCrory 17%
Walker 7%
Budd 6%
Someone else 4%
Don’t know 39%

Biden approval: 56/40 (+16)
Cooper approval: 52/41 (+11)

https://www.meredith.edu/assets/images/content/Meredith_Poll_Report_Spring_2021_final.pdf

[S019]

I can't help but laugh at Mark Walker, he seriously thought he was going to get a clean lane in 2022 and didn't fight the legislative map because of that, and now it looks like he probably won't be nominated. Also hoping Beasley wins the nomination, 13% is good for a candidate who isn't even in it yet, unlike Jackson who's already campaigning.

[Xing]

Biden has a higher approval than Cooper? I guess a 2024 Bidenslide (every state except FL) is inevitable, folks.

[Left Wing]

Jackson is gonna win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good news for Jackson on NC

[If my soul was made of stone]

Biden has a higher approval than Cooper?

The whole reason that Roy Cooper got the governor's chair in the first place, and especially the reason that he held onto it in 2020 while Dems everywhere else on the ballot got a sad drubbing and non-federal statewide elections continued to creep red, is that he's effectively powerless, so it's quite strange that Biden is more popular than him now. I imagine that it's a typically inflated number for early in his tenure, however, and that it'll make its way back down until it reflects the state's perma-Lean R federal partisanship that it's held since 1992 with only intermittent exceptions.

The closeness of the Democratic primary is fascinating. I'd be fine with either Beasley or Jackson personally, although I sincerely doubt that either will win at this juncture. Mark Walker's sorry showing is amusing, although tarnished by demonstration of the evident staying power of the Trump and McCrory brands, which should be decisively dead by now (especially for irrelevant Trumps).

I get the sense that she's done with politics for good, but I perversely wonder what would happen if Cherie Berry ran.

[Malarkey Decider]

Biden has a higher approval than Cooper?

The whole reason that Roy Cooper got the governor's chair in the first place, and especially the reason that he held onto it in 2020 while Dems everywhere else on the ballot got a sad drubbing and non-federal statewide elections continued to creep red, is that he's effectively powerless, so it's quite strange that Biden is more popular than him now. I imagine that it's a typically inflated number for early in his tenure, however, and that it'll make its way back down until it reflects the state's perma-Lean R federal partisanship that it's held since 1992 with only intermittent exceptions.

The closeness of the Democratic primary is fascinating. I'd be fine with either Beasley or Jackson personally, although I sincerely doubt that either will win at this juncture. Mark Walker's sorry showing is amusing, although tarnished by demonstration of the evident staying power of the Trump and McCrory brands, which should be decisively dead by now (especially for irrelevant Trumps).

I get the sense that she's done with politics for good, but I perversely wonder what would happen if Cherie Berry ran.

It's 312 people

[Sir Mohamed]

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But, it's also Hilarious that just because Trump won the state by 1.5 and it was considered a swing state, that NC is this R trending state all of a sudden which it's not, same with FL, both are swing states not permanent R states

[beesley]

You can't effectively add two polls together and claim it's a reasonable sample size lmao

[MT Treasurer]

This is one of those states where Democrats have been grossly overestimated in pre-election polling for several election cycles in a row now.

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Ftfy. Actually, wait:

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Actually....

Making predictions 18 months out based on a[ny] poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Now it’s fixed.

[Xing]

This is one of those states where Democrats have been grossly overestimated in pre-election polling for several election cycles in a row now.

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Ftfy. Actually, wait:

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Actually....

Making predictions 18 months out based on a[ny] poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Now it’s fixed.

Why not go all the way?

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

This is one of those states where Democrats have been grossly overestimated in pre-election polling for several election cycles in a row now.

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Ftfy. Actually, wait:

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Actually....

Making predictions 18 months out based on a[ny] poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Now it’s fixed.

Why not go all the way?

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

Nah, I got you:

Making predictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs is hilarious.

[GALeftist]

Making [P]redictions 18 months out based on a poll with a sample of less than 700 RVs [are] hilarious.