UK By-elections thread, 2021- (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 06:41:00 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  UK By-elections thread, 2021- (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: UK By-elections thread, 2021-  (Read 170212 times)
thumb21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,679
Cyprus


Political Matrix
E: -4.42, S: 1.82

« on: March 18, 2021, 05:23:56 PM »

It makes a lot of sense to be cautious but given that Labour is starting from a higher point and the fact that by-elections tend to favour opposition parties, I'd be surprised if Labour loses. Brexit Party voters will probably split both ways - or atleast I don't think they'll break overwhelmingly one way or another and change the balance.
Logged
thumb21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,679
Cyprus


Political Matrix
E: -4.42, S: 1.82

« Reply #1 on: July 01, 2021, 01:50:20 PM »

I'm half expecting a 20 point Tory win but my head says the Tories will win but not a landslide. Unlike Hartlepool, there isn't a popular and active Tory mayor and Labour seems to be running a better campaign than their disasterous one in Hartlepool. The local elections were also basically even in Batley and Spen.

My guess:
45% Tory
42% Labour
10% Galloway
Logged
thumb21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,679
Cyprus


Political Matrix
E: -4.42, S: 1.82

« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2021, 10:47:44 PM »

Bundle recount ordered. Probable means a 400-600 majority.

Apparently requested by the Tories.
Logged
thumb21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,679
Cyprus


Political Matrix
E: -4.42, S: 1.82

« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2023, 04:27:43 PM »
« Edited: June 11, 2023, 04:31:14 PM by thumb21 »

Its a shame that Arlesey isn't part of Mid Bedfordshire. The Lib Dems could do well opposing the transformation of long Arlesey into wide Arlesey.. Sorry, obscure local meme.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 13 queries.