UK By-elections thread, 2021-
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 04, 2022, 10:08:20 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  UK By-elections thread, 2021-
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 53 54 55 56 57 [58] 59 60 61 62 63 64
Author Topic: UK By-elections thread, 2021-  (Read 74648 times)
YL
YorkshireLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1425 on: June 23, 2022, 07:18:51 PM »

Wonder how big the swing will be if the talks of double digit win are true?  Still don't think they'll rival what they pulled in Bermondsey in 83 but it could be bigger than Christchurch. 

To beat the Christchurch record the lead would need to be nearly 25 percentage points.
Logged
TheTide
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,137
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1426 on: June 23, 2022, 07:30:12 PM »

Tiverton and Honiton turnout is 52.0%.
Logged
TheTide
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,137
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1427 on: June 23, 2022, 07:37:19 PM »

Seen a claim that the Tory vote is holding up in T and H, but doesn't dispute that they are going to lose. Given that they got 60% last time, it has fallen at least 15% if they have indeed lost. Hardly holding up.
Logged
Blair
Blair2015
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,048
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1428 on: June 23, 2022, 07:39:55 PM »

Wonder what the new wedge issue will be next week…

I see they’ve gone for the Gordon Brown playbook and blamed it all on David Miliband Tory rebels.
Logged
Blair
Blair2015
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,048
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1429 on: June 23, 2022, 07:41:04 PM »

Seen a claim that the Tory vote is holding up in T and H, but doesn't dispute that they are going to lose. Given that they got 60% last time, it has fallen at least 15% if they have indeed lost. Hardly holding up.

Well yes I was going to be snidey and say it’s brave to brief your vote is holding up when a 24K majority seat is at risk.
Logged
Blair
Blair2015
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,048
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1430 on: June 23, 2022, 07:50:17 PM »

Wakefield expected between 3-4. I don’t think I’ve had a full nights sleep during by election night for a while..
Logged
Torrain
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,869
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1431 on: June 23, 2022, 07:51:08 PM »
« Edited: June 23, 2022, 07:59:02 PM by Torrain »

I see they’ve gone for the Gordon Brown playbook and blamed it all on David Miliband Tory rebels.

Not sure that’s a winning strategy for Johnson allies calling for “an end to party division”. What’s easier to end the division? Individually placate 148 stubborn rebels, or remove one troublesome PM?
Logged
TheTide
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,137
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1432 on: June 23, 2022, 08:28:52 PM »

There we go.



Logged
YL
YorkshireLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1433 on: June 23, 2022, 08:59:42 PM »

Lib Dems claiming a “clear win” in Tiverton & Honiton.  Yellow returning to the map of the rural West Country after a 7 year break.
Logged
Secretary of State Liberal Hack
IBNU
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,989
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1434 on: June 23, 2022, 09:00:33 PM »

Ed Davey needs to get someone less online to run his Twitter
Logged
Oryxslayer
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,426


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1435 on: June 23, 2022, 09:04:39 PM »
« Edited: June 23, 2022, 09:21:25 PM by Oryxslayer »

I thought we would have more pictures of stacks of ballots on tables by now Sad

EDIT: Wakefield imminent
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,660
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1436 on: June 23, 2022, 09:21:44 PM »

Lib Dems claiming a “clear win” in Tiverton & Honiton.  Yellow returning to the map of the rural West Country after a 7 year break.

Seen several jokes of LD breaking the Corn Wall next.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 65,698
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1437 on: June 23, 2022, 09:48:14 PM »

Reports that the Conservative candidate at Tiverton & Honiton has locked herself in the press room.
Logged
Oryxslayer
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,426


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1438 on: June 23, 2022, 09:57:01 PM »

Wakefield Goes Labour by a good deal.
Logged
YL
YorkshireLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1439 on: June 23, 2022, 09:57:49 PM »
« Edited: June 23, 2022, 10:01:26 PM by YL »

Nadeem Ahmed (Conservative) 8241
Akef Akbar (Ind) 2090
Paul Bickerdike (Christian People's Alliance) 144
Mick Dodgson (Freedom Alliance) 187
Sir Archibald Stanton Earl 'Eaton (Official Monster Raving Loony) 171
Jayda Fransen (Ind) 23
Jordan Gaskell (UKIP) 124
David Herdson (Yorkshire Party) 1182
Therese Hirst (English Democrats) 135
Christopher Jones (Northern Independence Party) 84
Simon Lightwood (Labour) 13166
Jamie Needle (Lib Dem) 508
Ashley Routh (Green) 587
Ashlea Simon (Britain First) 311
Chris Walsh (Reform UK) 513

Majority 4925

Logged
Oryxslayer
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,426


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1440 on: June 23, 2022, 10:00:48 PM »

Labour: 13,166 Votes, 47.94%
Conservative: 8,241 Votes, 30%
Akbar: 2,090 Votes, 7.61%
Yorkshire Party: 1,182 Votes, 4.3%
Greens: 587 Votes, 2.14%
Reform: 513 Votes, 1.87%
Lib-Dem: 508 Votes, 1.85%

All Others: 1,179 Votes, 4.29%
Logged
Oryxslayer
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,426


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1441 on: June 23, 2022, 10:03:03 PM »

Holy f That lib dem vote count.
Logged
YL
YorkshireLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1442 on: June 23, 2022, 10:05:32 PM »

Swing is about 12.7% then.  Not bad but not quite as good as the two polls.
Logged
soundchaser
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,451


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1443 on: June 23, 2022, 10:07:28 PM »

Wonder how big the swing will be if the talks of double digit win are true?  Still don't think they'll rival what they pulled in Bermondsey in 83 but it could be bigger than Christchurch. 

To beat the Christchurch record the lead would need to be nearly 25 percentage points.

About that…

Logged
Oryxslayer
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,426


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1444 on: June 23, 2022, 10:08:13 PM »

Tiverton & Honiton

Lib-Dem: 22,563 Votes, 52.94%.
Conservative: 16,393 Votes, 38.47%
Labour: 1,562 Votes, 3.67%
Green: 1,064 Votes, 2.5%

All Others: 1,035 Votes, 2.43%
Logged
Tintrlvr
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,789


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1445 on: June 23, 2022, 10:08:29 PM »

Tiverton & Honiton

LD 22,563
Con 16,393
Lab 1,562
Green 1,064
Reform UK 481
UKIP 241
Heritage 167
For Britain 146

LD maj = 6,170


LD: 52.9% (+38.1)
Con: 38.5% (-21.7)
Lab: 3.7% (-15.9)
Grn: 2.5% (-1.3)
Reform UK: 1.1% (+1.1)
UKIP: 0.6% (-1.1)
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 65,698
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1446 on: June 23, 2022, 10:09:13 PM »

Hammered in both, hilarious!
Logged
YL
YorkshireLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1447 on: June 23, 2022, 10:09:56 PM »

Close to 30% swing in T & H then.
Logged
Statilius the Epicurean
Thersites
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,313
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1448 on: June 23, 2022, 11:03:12 PM »

About as bad a rebuke of Boris one could imagine. Not that I expect it to change his position in the near future, but.
Logged
Epaminondas
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,135


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1449 on: June 23, 2022, 11:24:03 PM »

Another shadow cabinet member said: “Anything less than a 5,000 majority bodes badly for winning back the red wall.”
4925 < 5000
Moral victory for the Tories?
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 53 54 55 56 57 [58] 59 60 61 62 63 64  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.056 seconds with 11 queries.