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Author Topic: New official NPC thread (August polls coming, campaigning open)  (Read 12459 times)
Harvey Updyke Jr🌹
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« Reply #150 on: May 02, 2021, 02:33:03 PM »

Fix is in
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Peanut
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« Reply #151 on: May 02, 2021, 11:38:31 PM »

New York State Election:
MMP House

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Federalist Party53%82 Reps / 37 Senators
Liberal Party28%38 Reps / 17 Senators
Labor Party10%15 Reps / 4 Senators
Democratic Alliance9%15 Reps /  5 Senators
Total150 Reps / 63 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist win, Governor Denniston reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House and Senate majority


Analysis:

Very popular Governor Denniston cruised to reelection, and a trifecta, thanks to strong Federalist campaigning in the state. Other parties' rhetoric didn't work quite as well (are New Yorkers elitists, or are they not? We all know the answer, and a bit of consistency's always good!), and strong, record-based Fed appeals (albeit a bit platitude-filled at times) worked very well in the Empire State and holds the state for the Federalist Party.

Massachusetts State Election:
PR system

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Labor Party48%77 Reps / 19 Senators
Liberal Party32%51 Reps / 13 Senators
Democratic Alliance12%19 Reps /  5 Senators
Federalist Party8%13 Reps / 3 Senators
Total160 Reps / 40 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Murphy reelected 55-45 in the final round

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House and Senate plurality


Analysis:

The marquee race in Lincoln this season ends with a (close!) reelection for Governor Murphy. Both main parties in the state had parallel campaigning styles (efforts on energy, government structure, and taxation were very prominent), but ultimately popularity and volume won out. While Governor Murphy will once again govern without a full trifecta, he will govern nonetheless: it remains to be seen whether he keeps his popularity levels up, given his surprisingly close reelection as, out of the roughly 20% of the vote redistributed, only 7% broke for him.

Virgin Islands State Election:
PR system

Party/Alliance   Votes (%)   Seats
Democratic Alliance36%9 Reps /  5 Senators
Liberal Party35%9 Reps / 5 Senators
Labor Party16%4 Reps / 2 Senators
Federalist Party13%3 Reps / 2 Senators
Total25 Reps / 15 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Democratic Alliance win, Governor Allen reelected 50.6-49.4 in the final round

Incoming Legislature:
No majority


Analysis:

Confusing and close election where both parties' rhetoric was relatively strong and pref distributions were decisive. Federalist preferences gave the Liberals a big boost, giving them 44% in the second round, but Labor prefs broke for the DA and reelected Governor Allen by the slimmest of margins. The closeness of the race is reflected in the legislature, where no discernible majority or governing coalition emerges at this point.
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Peanut
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« Reply #152 on: May 02, 2021, 11:49:20 PM »

I think Labor were the clear winners this season. Despite falling to laughable numbers in many states, they achieved their priorities masterfully, and I think they've become such a well-oiled machine where every campaigner plays to their strengths that it's hard to beat them at their best.


As for the Feds, you guys are good campaigners as I said at the end of March, but you seemed a bit disorganized this time. Hope to see that improve next month, it's normal (and happened to other parties too last month somewhat).

And DA and Libs, well, Virginia only knows.


The calendar for the May season is as follows:

  • Campaigning opens Wednesday, May 5th.
  • First polls are out Friday, May 7th.
  • Random events are out Wednesday 12th. These are already written up as I was originally planning for them to affect April, but they'll be modified and posted this month as our first true experience with randomized events.
  • Second polling update out Sunday, May 16th.
  • Third polling update out Sunday, May 23rd.
  • Campaigning closes Wednesday, May 26th.
  • Results to be posted during the last weekend of May.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #153 on: May 03, 2021, 10:15:43 PM »

May's map:

[includes San Francisco (Labor) and Guam (Liberal)]
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #154 on: May 04, 2021, 05:02:26 PM »


As many times as I referred to my campaign office as super sexy among other adjectives pre-reset, this makes me wish I had done so this time. Tongue
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YE
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« Reply #155 on: May 05, 2021, 01:59:08 AM »


As many times as I referred to my campaign office as super sexy among other adjectives pre-reset, this makes me wish I had done so this time. Tongue

Should have referred to it as historically sexy.
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Peanut
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« Reply #156 on: May 05, 2021, 07:31:41 PM »

Btw, I have all four parties from last round marked as participating. Any change needed?
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #157 on: May 05, 2021, 07:57:58 PM »

Labor will officially be endorsing the Liberal Party in Guam, and Liberals will ally with Labor in Texas.
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Continential
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« Reply #158 on: May 05, 2021, 07:58:23 PM »

Labor will officially be endorsing the Liberal Party in Guam, and Liberals will ally with Labor in Texas.
Confirming this deal.
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Peanut
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« Reply #159 on: May 05, 2021, 08:11:37 PM »

For both legislative and gubernatorial races, yes?
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #160 on: May 05, 2021, 08:18:34 PM »

For both legislative and gubernatorial races, yes?

Correct.
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Peanut
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« Reply #161 on: May 05, 2021, 08:34:16 PM »

Got it. Polls are being posted tonight because I don't think I can post on Friday.
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Peanut
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« Reply #162 on: May 05, 2021, 09:27:27 PM »
« Edited: May 10, 2021, 07:49:32 PM by GM Peanut »

Atlasia Elects: May 2021
The state of play



Guam, with its Liberal Governor and Labor pluralities, not shown on the map. California stands for the San Francisco Mayoralty.

Active events:
Utah death reports scandal hurting Labor a lot in Utah, moderately in Fremont
Wisconsin legislators scandal hurting Labor moderately in Lincoln
Missouri dam report helping Federalists a lot in Missouri, a little in the South


May. The month of emeralds and workers. The season of mayapples, a prelude to summer. And, for Atlasians from Guam to New Jersey, a time to elect all-new state governments! How will the campaigns play out? Will state governments and pesky party officials thwart national efforts to make one party rule the game? All that and more, in the May season of NPC elections!!!


The state of the states:

Utah:

Governor: Eric Udall, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 57% - 40%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  42%
Liberal Party  -  21%
Federalist Party  -  20%
Democratic Alliance  -  7%


Governor Udall remains popular, just as First Minister Truman and his regionwide government. The state, which has strongly supported Labor earlier, looks likely to reelect the Governor and his majority in both chambers, but recent conflicts could complicate that... more to come, in the events section of the Citizen's Dispatch!

Wyoming:

Governor: Wynonna Thomas, with a trifecta

Administration's popularity: 81% - 10%

Polling:
Labor Party (inc.)  -  66%
Liberal Party  -  12%
Federalist Party  -  12%
Democratic Alliance  -  10%

"Wyoming LOVES Wynonna", reads a sign outside one of approximately three houses in Laramie. And for good reason: Governor Thomas has ranked several times as the most popular Governor in Atlasia, and recent news of her engagement to a popular local rapper have only placed her further in the eyes of pop culture and endeared her to the citizenry. Her policies have proven very popular and effective in protecting her state, and she has consistently had a cheery disposition in her rallies, events, and executive/legislative communication.

Montana:

Governor: Governor Budd Fudrucker, with a majority in the House and plurality in the Senate.

Administration's popularity: 54% - 41%

Polling:
Labor Party (inc.)  -  36%
Federalist Party  -  31%
Liberal Party  -  19%
Democratic Alliance  -  10%


Governor Fuddrucker is as Montana as they come, with his famous truck photos, his widely-seen gaffe during his last State of the State address (where he pointed at the Senate Minority Leader, criticizing his vote on a recent rural bill, saying "and I'd point at you with all five fingers if I had 'em"), and his response to concerns over his weight by wrestling a declawed bear on the steps of the State Capitol. His administration has been popular, but concerns over his... attitudes have sparked concern and a backlash from members of the opposition. How will the campaign play out? It remains to be seen!

Guam:

Governor: Pat Aguon, with Labor pluralities in the legislature.

Administration's popularity: 34% - 40%

Polling:

Liberal Party  (inc.) -  34%
Federalist Party  -  20%
Democratic Alliance  -  15%


 Guam is not a very politically-involved state, as reflected in the unpopularity (but general neutrality) of Governor Aguon. In a state like this, campaigning and alliances will be key to charting the path towards the election.

San Francisco:

Mayor: Nora Chu

Administration's popularity: 45% - 45%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  34%
Democratic Alliance  -  20%
Liberal Party  -  20%
Federalist Party  -  20%

While the Citizen's Dispatch polled San Francisco, the most common response when asked for an opinion on Mayor Chu was "meh". Every party can build on their starting numbers, as a decidedly mediocre (but not bad!) Mayor seeks reelection.



Texas:

Governor: Ramsey Bryant, with a plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 42% - 45%

Polling:

Federalist Party  -  36%
Labor Party (inc.)  -  36%
Democratic Alliance  -  6%
The crown jewel of Southern Labor, the Texas state government, has been rather ineffective. Under Governor Bryant's administration, the state has faced an unprecedented energy crisis that Bryant's legislature, due to deadlock, didn't accurately respond to and which led to the death of at least 100 Texans, a majority voting against Governor Bryant's party in the last presidential election, and a razor-thin working coalition in the legislature that has sunk most of the Governor's policies. Nevertheless, personal approvals for the Governor remain high, as most consider him someone they'd leave their house keys with when traveling (a polling question inspired by similar ones in neighboring Mexico).

Kentucky:

Governor: Hal Harlan, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 42% - 46%

Polling:

Federalist Party (inc.)  -  39%
Democratic Alliance  -  24%
Labor Party  -  20%
Liberal Party  -  4%

Governor Harlan should be very thankful the Federalist Party is as strong as it is in Kentucky, because in any other state his reelection would be nothing short of doomed. However, nobody expects Kentucky's base partisanship to surprise. In fact, several internet communities (The Citizen's Dispatch published examples from an elections forum in its Sunday issue) have made Unbeatable Titan Hal Harlan sort of a running joke, and taken to ostracize those who believe the opposition could pick the state up. Indeed, at this point it's pretty much a pipe dream, as the Governor is still where he needs to be in approvals - just not as much as one would expect in such a staunchly orangered state.

Missouri:

Governor: George Chamberlin, with a Federalist plurality in both chambers

Administration's popularity: 36% - 45%

Polling:

Federalist Party  -  34%
Labor Party/Peace  -  30%
Democratic Alliance  -  9%
Liberal Party  -  7%

The Show Me State is also the one that's showing us the least in these polls. We know the government is unpopular (and Governor Chamberlin has proven not very adept at dealing with the opposition legislature) but that's as much as the voters are really telling us.



Vermont:

Governor: Joanne Campbell, with a plurality in both chambers

Administration's popularity: 49% - 45%

Polling:

Federalist Party (inc.) -  40%
Labor Party  -  30%
Liberal Party  -  15%
Democratic Alliance  -  10%

Governor Campbell's government is above water, and (surprisingly, given her previous notoriety in national news) Vermont's vaccination and positivity rates are setting examples for the nation. Additionally, her regular appearance on a cooking show (Aunt Jo's Spoon) has endeared her to the state, as she gives you the best dessert recipes you've ever seen, all while criticizing President Sestak and Governor Kaiser Dave and highlighting her administration's achievements.

New Jersey:

Governor: Bryan Baglieri, with a Labor plurality in both chambers

Administration's popularity: 49% - 42%

Polling:

Labor Party -  36%
Democratic Alliance (inc.)  -  33%
Federalist Party  -  19%
Liberal Party  -  15%


New Jersey's a mess, so really more of the usual in the state.
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Continential
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« Reply #163 on: May 06, 2021, 02:26:55 PM »

Also, the Liberals are withdrawing from the Texas gubernatorial race and endorsing Labor there.
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Peanut
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« Reply #164 on: May 06, 2021, 05:42:59 PM »

Got it. Polls modified to reflect that.
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Joseph Cao
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« Reply #165 on: May 07, 2021, 02:02:57 PM »

Governor Joanne Campbell is not running for reelection. The Federalist candidate this cycle is state Senate Leader Elaine Stone.
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Peanut
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« Reply #166 on: May 08, 2021, 05:21:33 PM »

Governor Joanne Campbell is not running for reelection. The Federalist candidate this cycle is state Senate Leader Elaine Stone.

Got it. I assume it's to spend more time on her cooking/talk show?
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #167 on: May 09, 2021, 03:45:50 AM »

Would you be willing to give out mid-month polling numbers to give us ideas on where things are headed?
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Peanut
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« Reply #168 on: May 09, 2021, 10:28:56 AM »

Would you be willing to give out mid-month polling numbers to give us ideas on where things are headed?

Definitely, yep. Also, events are coming tonight.

I will so reexamine my position on campaigning limits, maybe not with a hard cap but with a diminishing returns-type system. You'll get a decision on that soon.
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Peanut
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« Reply #169 on: May 10, 2021, 07:43:42 PM »

The Citizen’s Dispatch
Volume V: NPC elections issue


Ut-ah, that's bad
Reports emerge of lies in Utah Governor Udall's handling of pandemic and death reports


Quote
SALT LAKE CITY, UTAH - The political landscape in the Beehive State was shaken up earlier today as first reports emerged of total incompetence in Governor Udall's administration's death reports.

The incompetence was first spotted by a collaborator here at the Citizen's Dispatch, who noticed that the death rate for children under 10 was amazingly high. Upon closer inspection, it was revealed that the state's Health department's system for counting deaths only accounted for two digits, so those over 100 years of age were counted as children. Ms. Jennifer Swire, Citizen's Dispatch investigative journalist, set out to determine whether this was indicative of a larger plot to downplay COVID deaths, or an isolated incident. The findings were frankly outrageous.

During the Governor's time in office, the Department's pleas for funding and for information transparency were repeatedly shot down on direct orders from the Governor himself, resulting in a dozen dozens of deaths not being counted - especially those that occurred during outbreaks in nursing homes earlier in the pandemic. Reportedly, aides to the Governor rewrote reports from the Health Department in order to hide the true number of deaths, not to mention the above-mentioned incompetence regarding the counting systems.

When reached for comment, the Governor's office simply stated that the numbers are true and the whole region is already moving beyond the pandemic to a brighter future. However, a recorded call, given to the Citizen's Dispatch by a former aide to Governor Udall, shows the Governor saying that employees needed to "cover this up - we can't have Truman looking bad over in Denver", leaving avenues open to claims that the Governor's recklessness was inspired by efforts to make Fremont First Minister Truman look good - with or without his knowledge. The First Minister, who is currently highly popular and set to have an HBO miniseries based on his political career, and the rest of the Labor Party have not commented on this story.

What's going on with them? Have they been eating cheese?
Labor legislators in Wisconsin stage "protest", grind legislature to a halt


Quote
MADISON - State legislators Vivian Baldwin and Thomas Peterson, both Laborites, have reacted to unconfirmed reports that Federalist Governor Bunsen will move to cut state taxes by sleeping over and banging drums before the dais in the State Capitol. They have spent the last two nights, drawing attention to their picturesque display on the floor: signs calling for Governor Bunsen's resignation as "bourgeoisie rabble", pictures of Governor Kaiser Dave and President Sestak with "not far enough!" drawn across their faces, and communist memorabilia like a copy of the Communist Manifesto and the selected writings of infamous former politician TNF.

Ms. Baldwin and Mr. Peterson, who both rank among the state legislators with the highest Twitter followings, have always been very disruptive in legislative proceedings: earlier this session, they introduced copies of TNF bills in the legislature, all of which were quickly struck down by their party leadership and, even if they weren't, would not have fit under the purview of the state legislatures. Despite their inability to pass the billls, the legislators have remained adamant they're doing the right thing, claiming "the Wisconsin proletariat will never truly be free until our government structure is completely changed and the workers can govern themselves".

The Federalist Speaker gave comment to the Citizen's Dispatch, saying that it was impossible to conduct legislative business while the legislators "went on a barefoot picnic and a juvenile sleepover on the House floor", adding they are "disrespecting the people of Wisconsin and it's a shame the Labor Party hasn't condemned them in the strongest possible terms". He also disagreed with the legislators' philosophical views, mentioning that "you know, the Revolution worked in Russia because they were a backwards, you know, agricultural society, they were basically centuries behind in every way, and these two act like Wisconsin is like that as well... oh wait."

Dam, LT!
Financial analysis of proposed Missouri dam predicts windfall for the South


Quote
After the Southern Chamber passed the MERAMEC Act, economists were quick to estimate its possible impact on Southern finances, and their report is impressive: in an indubitable win for the Southern Federalist Party, especially in Missouri, projections are that the employment in the area will go up significantly, and public approval of the project clocks in at over 80 percent, as developers start clearing the land for new residences and construction planning begins on the proposed dam.


Elliott stunned
Michigan legislators send letter to Governor Kaiser Dave asking about legality of recall elections


Quote
LANSING - A multi-party group of state legislators (5 Fed Representatives, 2 Fed Senators, a Liberal Representative, one Liberal Senator, 3 Labor Representatives and one Labor Senator) have sent a letter to Governor Kaiser Dave asking the General Court to consider rewriting regional state election legislation to allow for a recall election against Governor Elliott, citing reports of incompetence in his handling of the state's finances and mismanagement of the budget. Neither members of the regional government nor DA authorities have commented on this attempt to remove Governor Elliott and, presumably, trigger a recall election.

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Peanut
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« Reply #170 on: May 10, 2021, 07:50:04 PM »

Active events:
Utah death reports scandal hurting Labor a lot in Utah, moderately in Fremont
Wisconsin legislators scandal hurting Labor moderately in Lincoln
Missouri dam report helping Federalists a lot in Missouri, a little in the South
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Peanut
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« Reply #171 on: May 12, 2021, 07:55:24 PM »

To be clear, articles of impeachment against the Governor have passed the Utah House of Representatives. 29 Senators have come out in favor of impeaxhment, with 6 Federalist and 5 Labor Senators either against or undecided. However, it's likely the 2/3 majority for conviction will be reached.
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OBD
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« Reply #172 on: May 13, 2021, 11:58:47 PM »

Are we still on track for the mid-turn update tomorrow?
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Peanut
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« Reply #173 on: May 14, 2021, 08:50:57 AM »

Yeah, polls will be posted tonight.
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Continential
The Op
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« Reply #174 on: May 14, 2021, 12:07:46 PM »
« Edited: May 14, 2021, 01:46:40 PM by Ishan »

Due to this act passing, I am wondering what are the voting systems of each Lincoln states/cities if you are willing to clarify?
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