GA-Trafalgar: Walker +2 over Warnock
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  GA-Trafalgar: Walker +2 over Warnock		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: GA-Trafalgar: Walker +2 over Warnock  (Read 1561 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« on: March 12, 2021, 12:08:03 PM »
47.7% Walker
45.5% Warnock

3/7- 3/9

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/insider-advantage-gasen2021-poll/
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User2836
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« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2021, 12:09:14 PM »
This isn't going to hold. I think Warnock will be favored.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #2 on: March 12, 2021, 12:13:53 PM »
LOL.

They have Biden at -12 in terms of approval, if Warnock is only down by 2 points with that it's not a good sign for Walker.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: March 12, 2021, 12:15:20 PM »
Tilt/Lean D, it will be close but it’s less likely to flip than NH and, yes, AZ and NV.

Also:

45.8% Raphael Warnock (D, inc.)
45.2% Doug Collins (R)

45.6% Raphael Warnock (D, inc.)
40.9% Kelly Loeffler (R)

GOP primary:

32.6% Walker
32.5% Collins
23.7% Loeffler
11.2% Undecided
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User2836
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« Reply #4 on: March 12, 2021, 12:25:47 PM »
OMG! I just found out this is a Trumpfalgar poll!

This means nothing.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #5 on: March 12, 2021, 12:46:40 PM »
Trump has been pushing for Walker to run. I wonder if this poll is some coordinated effort to push him into the race.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2021, 12:50:06 PM »
Runoff, not buying this poll, it's a Traggie poll
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: March 12, 2021, 12:51:02 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on March 12, 2021, 12:15:20 PM
Tilt/Lean D, it will be close but it’s less likely to flip than NH and, yes, AZ and NV.

Also:

45.8% Raphael Warnock (D, inc.)
45.2% Doug Collins (R)

45.6% Raphael Warnock (D, inc.)
40.9% Kelly Loeffler (R)

GOP primary:

32.6% Walker
32.5% Collins
23.7% Loeffler
11.2% Undecided


CCM isn't losing with Sisolak, Rs can forget it, the females dominant the state legislatures
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2021, 01:28:52 PM »
Okay, sorry, I take that NV part back. Heck, I’d vote for CCM myself if the Reid machine contacted me and the GOP nominated a non-Sandoval candidate.

Safe CCM, she wins by 23,218 votes
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #9 on: March 12, 2021, 01:32:16 PM »
I don't think Trafalgar makes "adjustments" to non-Trump polls and are fairly alright in midterm years 
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: March 12, 2021, 01:38:25 PM »
I know what Traggie is trying do make it seem like D's are gonna lose seats, get over it Traggie, you said WARNOCK was gonna lose the Runoffs
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #11 on: March 12, 2021, 01:40:09 PM »
Quote from: neostassenite31 on March 12, 2021, 01:32:16 PM
I don't think Trafalgar makes "adjustments" to non-Trump polls and are fairly alright in midterm years 

They missed the 2018 Georgia margin by 11 points.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: March 12, 2021, 01:41:19 PM »
I agree with Trafalgar that if Biden has a -16% approval rating in Georgia on election day, Warnock will probably lose.
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #13 on: March 12, 2021, 01:42:54 PM »
I wouldn't fully trust it yet but I could definitely see it being close. Walker can easily get the Trump base out better than Radical Conservative Kelly Loeffler. Plus I imagine Walker would fare better with moderate suburbanites than MTG.

For now though, Warnock's probably still the narrow favorite.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: March 12, 2021, 01:45:51 PM »
R voters are so impatient, as soon as Biden gets into office, they want him to wave a magic wand and make Covid disappear that Trump couldn't do in his entire yr he had last year, 20 mnths til the Election.

Once we win NJ and VA voters will see us as winners and gain momentum.

Biden is getting people vaccinated faster than Trump whom never spoke about it
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Thunder98
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« Reply #15 on: March 12, 2021, 01:48:33 PM »
Trafalgar has a terrible track record of Georgia. Remember the Kemp +12 poll they had on Nov 2nd, 2018.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #16 on: March 12, 2021, 02:02:54 PM »
lol
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They not like us
20RP12
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« Reply #17 on: March 12, 2021, 02:05:08 PM »
Trollfalgar back at it again!
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #18 on: March 12, 2021, 02:12:41 PM »
Lean D still
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #19 on: March 12, 2021, 02:13:24 PM »
Trafalgar is the only pollster I will trust in 2022. Plus, I don't even think Walker is going to run.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: March 12, 2021, 02:14:59 PM »

Lol as I said before it's 20 mnths and once we win NJ and VA, we are gonna gain momentum for the midterms. Usually Rs gain NJ and Gov races, and gain momentum just like Christie gave Rs a bump in 2009, but they are gonna lose more Seats in VA House and Senate State Delegation
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: March 12, 2021, 02:15:40 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on March 12, 2021, 02:13:24 PM
Trafalgar is the only pollster I will trust in 2022. Plus, I don't even think Walker is going to run.

They are wrong when they predicted WARNOCK was gonna lose the Runoffs
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S019
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« Reply #22 on: March 12, 2021, 06:12:17 PM »
If Trafalgar can only find the Republican up two, and has the other two Republicans tied or trailing by 6, this is a solidly Lean D race, and it's more likely to vote D than WI/NC/PA/NH/NV/AZ.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #23 on: March 15, 2021, 04:28:34 PM »
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on March 12, 2021, 12:13:53 PM
LOL.

They have Biden at -12 in terms of approval, if Warnock is only down by 2 points with that it's not a good sign for Walker.

In before "BIDEN MIDTERM!!!"
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #24 on: March 15, 2021, 05:12:18 PM »
This might be their worst pill ever lmao
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