Effect of Jon Tester’s minimum wage vote on his re-election chances

[TML]

As we all know, Jon Tester was one of the Democrats to oppose a $15 minimum wage in the recent stimulus.

What do you think the impact of this vote will be on his re-election chances the next time he is up for re-election?

(Note that for the purposes of this poll, “a statistically insignificant impact” means a change of less than 0.1% either way. I also know that some of you may think he is all but certain to either win or lose regardless; in that case, consider the potential impact of his vote on his winning/losing margin - i.e. a shift from D+3 to D+2 would qualify as “less likely,” while a shift from R+3 to R+2 would qualify as “more likely.”)

[wbrocks67]

It's a little early for this, given they may still do a $15 min wage standalone bill that he could easily end up voting for. Also, I wouldn't really take the relief bill $15 min wage vote as gospel, considering there was many reasons that people ended up not voting for it, so I don't think it will really matter long term.

[DaleCooper]

If this is going to be part of a larger pattern where he'll publicly reject the extreme elements of today's Democratic Party, then it'll help him, but on its own there'll be no significant impact.

[MT Treasurer]

OP, I know you’re very interested in MT politics, but I don’t think Tester/Gianforte voters care about the things you think they do.

[VAR]

OP, I know you’re very interested in MT politics, but I don’t think Tester/Gianforte voters care about the things you think they do.

imo kathleen williams would’ve crushed rosendale if she supported a $15 minimum wage imo

[Xing]

Right, obviously Tester wins elections because of his policies...

[WD]

Right, obviously Tester wins elections because of his policies...

What? You’re telling me stuff like this isn’t policy?

[MT Treasurer]

Right, obviously Tester wins elections because of his policies...

Smug, avaricious Seattle elitists like you who exhibit a total lack of empathy for the needy and are unwilling to veil their disregard for the values and pains of those less fortunate than you are why Montana Democrats lost across the board in 2020. How about going to Fort Benton and promoting the Fair Deal instead of running consultant-driven campaigns like Kathleen Williams did and embracing the kind of shameless pandering which Montanans have always seen through?

It is incredibly disingenuous to suggest that Kathleen Williams couldn’t have replicated Jon Tester's playbook if her campaign had centered on the same New Deal legacy that has improved the lives of working Montanans. But sorry, no one in Montana wears goggles and a bangle while filleting a fish in what might as well be a lab coat... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iaqn5TOQWTE

Greetings to Denise Juneau

[Xing]

Right, obviously Tester wins elections because of his policies...

Smug, avaricious Seattle elitists like you who exhibit a total lack of empathy for the needy and are unwilling to veil their disregard for the values and pains of those less fortunate than you are why Montana Democrats lost across the board in 2020. How about going to Fort Benton and promoting the Fair Deal instead of running consultant-driven campaigns like Kathleen Williams did and embracing the kind of shameless pandering which Montanans have always seen through?

It is incredibly disingenuous to suggest that Kathleen Williams couldn’t have replicated Jon Tester's playbook if her campaign had centered on the same New Deal legacy that has improved the lives of working Montanans. But sorry, no one in Montana wears goggles and a bangle while filleting a fish in what might as well be a lab coat... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iaqn5TOQWTE

Greetings to Denise Juneau

I mean, sure, maybe the cows don't like it, but obviously Democrats would have cratered in Georgia and Virginia without my smug elitism, and Ossoff/Warnock would've been lucky to crack 20% in Cobb/Gwinnett, so there's some use to my anti-social technocratic basement-dwelling fundraising strategy. Maybe driving a tractor with seven fingers flies in big populist sky country, but the folks in line at Starbucks want some smug slacktivism with their double shot almond milk caramel macchiatos, thank you very much.

[President Johnson]

No impact or will help. Last time I checked a minimum wage increase was popular across America, including in red states. However, it's really hard to see his vote has a major impact on an election nearly four years from now, even if the increase is enacted into law. In order to win reelection, Tester needs to do what he has done last time(s), and this is his brillant retail politics. The guy is one of the best senators.

[SnowLabrador]

Not much. His chances rely on the Democratic nominee for President carrying Montana, which are virtually zero.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It won't affect him due to fact all Rs have is Gianforte and Rosendale, retreads arent successful Bullock, James, Strickland Bredesen

That's why we have a good chance picking up seats all of candidates haven't lost races before

Rs have been losing seats in the House or the Senate since they peaked in n 2016 with Benghazi Hillary, how are we supposed to think 2022 they will gain seats and we have a 2016 Senate map and we only lost it due to Hillary

The only person will lose is Manchin to a Generic R, he might retire anyways, but WVA is gonna be AL 2020