CT - Sacred Heart University: Lamont incredibly popular

[VAR]

February 16-24
1,000 registered voters
MoE: 3%

Changes with October 2020.

Gov. Lamont job approval:

Approve 56% (+2)
Disapprove 23% (-2)
Unsure 21% (=)

https://www.sacredheart.edu/media/shu-media/institute-for-public-policy/GreatBlue_Research_SHU_Pioneer_Poll_ADA.pdf

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe Lamont

[President Johnson]

Obviously November 2022 is a long road, especially in politics, but Lamont has better chances than many anticipate.

[Suburbia]

Still Likely D

CTGOP could play their cards right, in a Biden midterm......

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

VA and NJ usually goes to the outparty in order for outparty to have a successful, midterm, 1997/2001/2009/2017, the fact that Rs are gonna lose both is a bad sign for them going into 2022

[Suburbia]

VA and NJ usually goes to the outparty in order for outparty to have a successful, midterm, 1997/2001/2009/2017, the fact that Rs are gonna lose both is a bad sign for them going into 2022

In 2001, McGreevey and Warner won, and in 2002 Republicans overperformed because of 9/11
In 2017, Murphy and Northam won, and in 2018 Republicans still kept Senate seats or even added seats in IN, MO, ND, FL, etc.

[MT Treasurer]

I really don’t get why people fall for this 'CT will flip R this time/[insert CT Democrat] is extremely vulnerable this time' take every four years. This is arguably the most challenging New England state for a Republican to compete in even at the non-federal level, and I’d be very surprised if it flipped before, say, ME or arguably even MN. Long-term trends aren’t exactly in the GOP's favor in CT either.

Lamont is beyond safe if those favorability numbers are even remotely accurate. He’s probably less popular than that, but he’d need abysmal numbers to really be at risk of actually losing. Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean.