Why hasn’t Susan Wright consolidated GOP support the way Julia Letlow did?

[Tekken_Guy]

Julia Letlow has unanimous GOP support in LA-5, but Susan Wright isn’t getting the same treatment in TX-6. Why is that?

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Might be a few reason Wright’s seat is more dense, as it reaches into the Dallas exurbs, whereas Letlow is more rural overall. Letlow also won his primary more significantly then Wright. Also Texas in generally seems to be more politically active

[Meatball Ron]

Also, probably a higher sympathy factor for Letlow given how much younger he was.

[beesley]

Also, probably a higher sympathy factor for Letlow given how much younger he was.

And the fact that he never got to take office.

[Brittain33]

I wonder if it matters that Letlow's district is likely to stay the same in 2022 while TX-6 is guaranteed to change in significant ways because of population growth and the new representative can help define the district they'll get.

I'm probably overthinking it, but that's a big difference between the two races.

[Meatball Ron]

I wonder if it matters that Letlow's district is likely stay the same in 2022 while TX-6 is guaranteed to change in significant ways because of population growth and the new representative can help define the district they'll get.

I'm probably overthinking it, but that's a big difference between the two races.

That is an interesting thought, though it may cut both ways - i.e., people would be less eager to jump into a race for a district that is liable to change drastically (esp. when more junior Reps are typically less likely to benefit from pro-incumbent redistricting, except in the case of a party trying to protect a perceived rising star)

[beesley]

I wonder if it matters that Letlow's district is likely stay the same in 2022 while TX-6 is guaranteed to change in significant ways because of population growth and the new representative can help define the district they'll get.

I'm probably overthinking it, but that's a big difference between the two races.

Maybe, but candidates like Rodimer and Ellzey are just running to be in Congress at all costs.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Open seat in a deep red state means a lot of pols considering jumping in.

[Calthrina950]

Open seat in a deep red state means a lot of pols considering jumping in.

Wouldn't this description be more accurately applied to Louisiana? Texas is obviously still a Republican state, but Louisiana is much more Republican than it now, and shows no real signs of trending left.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Open seat in a deep red state means a lot of pols considering jumping in.

Wouldn't this description be more accurately applied to Louisiana? Texas is obviously still a Republican state, but Louisiana is much more Republican than it now, and shows no real signs of trending left.

True, it would. My wording was kind of clumsy but was designed to hint to a huge bench of ambitious pols, all from one party, wanting a promotion.
I apologize for the suboptimal wording.

[Oryxslayer]

I wonder if it matters that Letlow's district is likely stay the same in 2022 while TX-6 is guaranteed to change in significant ways because of population growth and the new representative can help define the district they'll get.

I'm probably overthinking it, but that's a big difference between the two races.

That is an interesting thought, though it may cut both ways - i.e., people would be less eager to jump into a race for a district that is liable to change drastically (esp. when more junior Reps are typically less likely to benefit from pro-incumbent redistricting, except in the case of a party trying to protect a perceived rising star)

It's actually in my eyes more likely to be the opposite: (under the the current redistricting ruleset) nobody cares to challenge Letlow because they expect her district to be the one thrown to the wolves if JBE gets the second AA access seat, which means a big redraw, whereas TX-06 will be drawn to your ideal GOP specifications for protection.

[Meatball Ron]

I wonder if it matters that Letlow's district is likely stay the same in 2022 while TX-6 is guaranteed to change in significant ways because of population growth and the new representative can help define the district they'll get.

I'm probably overthinking it, but that's a big difference between the two races.

That is an interesting thought, though it may cut both ways - i.e., people would be less eager to jump into a race for a district that is liable to change drastically (esp. when more junior Reps are typically less likely to benefit from pro-incumbent redistricting, except in the case of a party trying to protect a perceived rising star)

It's actually in my eyes more likely to be the opposite: (under the the current redistricting ruleset) nobody cares to challenge Letlow because they expect her district to be the one thrown to the wolves if JBE gets the second AA access seat, which means a big redraw, whereas TX-06 will be drawn to your ideal GOP specifications for protection.

Ah - that is a very interesting point, though it's not the same as what Brittain33 was saying - they said Letlow's seat would remain the same, which is the opposite of what would happen if JBE gets the second AA seat.