HR 1 becoming law?
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  HR 1 becoming law? 		« previous next »
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Poll
Question: What are the chances HR 1 becomes law, passing the senate and house by the  time of the 2022 midterms?
#1
10-20%
#2
20-30%
#3
30-40%
#4
40-50%
#5
50-60%
#6
60-70%
#7
70-80%
#8
Almost certain it will be passed
#9
It will be DOA
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Partisan results

Author Topic: HR 1 becoming law?  (Read 2658 times)
MargieCat
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« Reply #25 on: March 04, 2021, 06:11:08 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on March 04, 2021, 06:08:40 PM
Quote from: MargieCat on March 04, 2021, 06:08:18 PM
If HR1 and the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act pass, won't the conservative 6-3 SCOTUS just gut them?

Yep. Which is why we also have to expand the court.
That's a nonstarter with Manchin.

Maybe if they can quickly pass DC/PR statehood, pass those bills, and pack the courts.

But even besides Manchin and Sinema, there are other democrats that might be hesitant to expand the courts.
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #26 on: March 04, 2021, 06:26:03 PM »
Sinema might be persuadable, this type of Bill could help her reelection.

Manchin is the real thorn.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
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« Reply #27 on: March 04, 2021, 06:30:20 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2021, 08:54:04 PM by Fmr. Gov. NickG »
Quote from: MargieCat on March 04, 2021, 06:08:18 PM
If HR1 and the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act pass, won't the conservative 6-3 SCOTUS just gut them?

Why do you think they would do this?  Congress clearly has the power to regulate federal elections as an enumerated power in the Art 1. Sec. 4 Elections clause.

The reason the Voting Rights Act is constitutionally controversial is that it relies on racial categorizations that are potentially at odds with the Equal Protection Clause.
 
Very little in HR 1 deals specifically with race.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #28 on: March 04, 2021, 06:34:52 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on March 04, 2021, 06:10:14 PM
I don't know why anyone would give it more than 20% chance of happening
Beats me. I gave it a 30-40% chance bc nothing surprises me anymore.
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