Best possible current challenger candidates in Senate races
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Author Topic: Best possible current challenger candidates in Senate races  (Read 379 times)
beesley
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« on: March 04, 2021, 02:05:39 PM »
« edited: March 04, 2021, 02:18:14 PM by beesley »

Have your say.

For the GOP:
AZ: Kimberley Yee, but still only Tossup with her.
GA: Unironically MTG, because she would be out of politics as she would lose (well, you would hope so). Probably the GOP's weakest state for candidates despite its size/traditional bench.
NH: Sununu, obviously.
NV: Sandoval, but barring him, an R that would cause least offence but still be conservative enough, like Hutchison or Hardy.
OR: Buehler, but that race is unwinnable for the GOP.


For the Dems:
FL: Nobody can beat Rubio off their own merit.
IA: Unironically, Rita Hart. Dave Loebsack if there was greater than 0% chance of him running. Still Likely/Safe R regardless.
KS: Nobody can beat Moran off their own merit.
MO: Kander in theory, but he wouldn't win.
NC: I'm sure there's someone better than Jackson, but that person is Roy Cooper, who wouldn't run and still might not win.
OH: Ryan.
PA: Fetterman.
WI: Not sure, but not Tom Nelson or Alex Lasry. Probably Kind seeing as his CD will go R.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2021, 02:12:57 PM »

AZ: Kimberly Yee
CO: Mike Coffman
GA: Harold Melton
IL: My man Bob Dold
NH: Chris Sununu
NV: If not Sandoval, Heidi Gansert

FL: Stephanie Murphy or Darren Soto
IA: Rob Sand
NC: Jeff Jackson
OH: Tim Ryan
PA: Conor Lamb or Brendan Boyle
WI: Ron Kind
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2021, 02:23:24 PM »

For the GOP
-AZ: Would've been Ducey a year ago, now probably Kimberly Yee.
-CA: Perhaps David Valadao or Mike Garcia? Of course nobody's winning this state.
-CO: Mike Coffman?
-CT: Erin Stewart, perhaps?
-GA: Vernon Jones?
-HI: Their best shot is probably convincing Tulsi Gabbard to join the party.
-IL: Adam Kinzinger
-MD: Larry Hogan
-NH: Chris Sununu
-NV: Brian Sandoval, but I doubt he'd run.
-NY: From the house bench, probably John Katko.
-OR: Knute?
-VT: Phil Scott
-WA: Kim Wyman, or maybe Jaime Herrera Beutler

For the Democrats
-AK: Getting Murkowski to switch parties.
-AL: Doug Jones
-AR: Mike Beebe?
-FL: Debbie Mucarsel-Powell?
-ID: Paulette Jordan?
-IN: Pete Buttigieg
-IA: Rob Sand? This seat is probably unwinnable without Steve King as the GOP nominee.
-KS: Laura Kelly
-KY: Andy Beshear
-LA: John Bel Edwards, but he won't let Nungesser become Governor a year early.
-MO: Jason Kander
-NC: Roy Cooper isn't happening because of Mark Robinson. Jeff Jackson sounds decent enough.
-ND: Heidi Heitkamp
-OH: Tim Ryan
-OK: Kendra Horn?
-PA: Tom Wolf
-SC: Joe Cunningham
-SD: Billie Sutton
-UT: Ben McAdams
-WI: Ron Kind
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Astatine
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« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2021, 02:55:26 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2021, 03:06:14 PM by Astatine ☢️ »

For the GOP
-AZ: Would've been Ducey a year ago, now probably Kimberly Yee.
-CA: Perhaps David Valadao or Mike Garcia? Of course nobody's winning this state.
-CO: Mike Coffman?
-CT: Erin Stewart, perhaps?
-GA: Vernon Jones?
-HI: Their best shot is probably convincing Tulsi Gabbard to join the party.
-IL: Adam Kinzinger
-MD: Larry Hogan
-NH: Chris Sununu
-NV: Brian Sandoval, but I doubt he'd run.
-NY: From the house bench, probably John Katko.
-OR: Knute?
-VT: Phil Scott
-WA: Kim Wyman, or maybe Jaime Herrera Beutler

For the Democrats
-AK: Getting Murkowski to switch parties.
-AL: Doug Jones
-AR: Mike Beebe?
-FL: Debbie Mucarsel-Powell?
-ID: Paulette Jordan?
-IN: Pete Buttigieg
-IA: Rob Sand? This seat is probably unwinnable without Steve King as the GOP nominee.
-KS: Laura Kelly
-KY: Andy Beshear
-LA: John Bel Edwards, but he won't let Nungesser become Governor a year early.
-MO: Jason Kander
-NC: Roy Cooper isn't happening because of Mark Robinson. Jeff Jackson sounds decent enough.
-ND: Heidi Heitkamp
-OH: Tim Ryan
-OK: Kendra Horn?
-PA: Tom Wolf
-SC: Joe Cunningham
-SD: Billie Sutton
-UT: Ben McAdams
-WI: Ron Kind
Agreed overall. For OK Dems, maybe Brad Henry? Yeah, ik, running former Governors didn't seem to work out well in general, but I guess he'd still be a more formidable challenger than a Congresswoman who was defeated after one term in office.
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I’m not Stu
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« Reply #4 on: March 04, 2021, 03:06:01 PM »

GOP:
AZ: Kimberly Yee
CA: Unwinnable, but David Valadao or Steve Jones are the best choices.
CO: Unknown
CT: Unknown, unwinnable for the GOP.
GA: Unknown
IL: Unwinnable, but Adam Kininger is the best choice.
MD: Unwinnable for the GOP, but Larry Hogan is the best choice.
NH: Chris Sununu
NV: Brian Sandoval
NY: Unwinnable, but John Katko is the best choice.
OR: Unwinnable, but Knute Buehler is the best choice.
VT: Unwinnable, but Phil Scott is the best choice.
WA: Unwinnable, but Jaime Herrera Beutler is the best choice.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #5 on: March 04, 2021, 03:13:45 PM »

For the GOP
-AZ: Would've been Ducey a year ago, now probably Kimberly Yee.
-CA: Perhaps David Valadao or Mike Garcia? Of course nobody's winning this state.
-CO: Mike Coffman?
-CT: Erin Stewart, perhaps?
-GA: Vernon Jones?
-HI: Their best shot is probably convincing Tulsi Gabbard to join the party.
-IL: Adam Kinzinger
-MD: Larry Hogan
-NH: Chris Sununu
-NV: Brian Sandoval, but I doubt he'd run.
-NY: From the house bench, probably John Katko.
-OR: Knute?
-VT: Phil Scott
-WA: Kim Wyman, or maybe Jaime Herrera Beutler

For the Democrats
-AK: Getting Murkowski to switch parties.
-AL: Doug Jones
-AR: Mike Beebe?
-FL: Debbie Mucarsel-Powell?
-ID: Paulette Jordan?
-IN: Pete Buttigieg
-IA: Rob Sand? This seat is probably unwinnable without Steve King as the GOP nominee.
-KS: Laura Kelly
-KY: Andy Beshear
-LA: John Bel Edwards, but he won't let Nungesser become Governor a year early.
-MO: Jason Kander
-NC: Roy Cooper isn't happening because of Mark Robinson. Jeff Jackson sounds decent enough.
-ND: Heidi Heitkamp
-OH: Tim Ryan
-OK: Kendra Horn?
-PA: Tom Wolf
-SC: Joe Cunningham
-SD: Billie Sutton
-UT: Ben McAdams
-WI: Ron Kind
Agreed overall. For OK Dems, maybe Brad Henry? Yeah, ik, running former Governors didn't seem to work out well in general, but I guess he'd still be a more formidable challenger than a Congresswoman who was defeated after one term in office.

Worked well for Bredesen.
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beesley
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« Reply #6 on: March 04, 2021, 03:15:32 PM »

For the GOP
-AZ: Would've been Ducey a year ago, now probably Kimberly Yee.
-CA: Perhaps David Valadao or Mike Garcia? Of course nobody's winning this state.
-CO: Mike Coffman?
-CT: Erin Stewart, perhaps?
-GA: Vernon Jones?
-HI: Their best shot is probably convincing Tulsi Gabbard to join the party.
-IL: Adam Kinzinger
-MD: Larry Hogan
-NH: Chris Sununu
-NV: Brian Sandoval, but I doubt he'd run.
-NY: From the house bench, probably John Katko.
-OR: Knute?
-VT: Phil Scott
-WA: Kim Wyman, or maybe Jaime Herrera Beutler

For the Democrats
-AK: Getting Murkowski to switch parties.
-AL: Doug Jones
-AR: Mike Beebe?
-FL: Debbie Mucarsel-Powell?
-ID: Paulette Jordan?
-IN: Pete Buttigieg
-IA: Rob Sand? This seat is probably unwinnable without Steve King as the GOP nominee.
-KS: Laura Kelly
-KY: Andy Beshear
-LA: John Bel Edwards, but he won't let Nungesser become Governor a year early.
-MO: Jason Kander
-NC: Roy Cooper isn't happening because of Mark Robinson. Jeff Jackson sounds decent enough.
-ND: Heidi Heitkamp
-OH: Tim Ryan
-OK: Kendra Horn?
-PA: Tom Wolf
-SC: Joe Cunningham
-SD: Billie Sutton
-UT: Ben McAdams
-WI: Ron Kind
Agreed overall. For OK Dems, maybe Brad Henry? Yeah, ik, running former Governors didn't seem to work out well in general, but I guess he'd still be a more formidable challenger than a Congresswoman who was defeated after one term in office.

Worked well for Bredesen.

That has more to do with Governors not being strong enough to overcome the partisanship of their state than Bredesen, Bullock etc. being bad. No Dem could've won TN in 2018 or OK next time.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #7 on: March 04, 2021, 03:18:32 PM »

For the GOP
-AZ: Would've been Ducey a year ago, now probably Kimberly Yee.
-CA: Perhaps David Valadao or Mike Garcia? Of course nobody's winning this state.
-CO: Mike Coffman?
-CT: Erin Stewart, perhaps?
-GA: Vernon Jones?
-HI: Their best shot is probably convincing Tulsi Gabbard to join the party.
-IL: Adam Kinzinger
-MD: Larry Hogan
-NH: Chris Sununu
-NV: Brian Sandoval, but I doubt he'd run.
-NY: From the house bench, probably John Katko.
-OR: Knute?
-VT: Phil Scott
-WA: Kim Wyman, or maybe Jaime Herrera Beutler

For the Democrats
-AK: Getting Murkowski to switch parties.
-AL: Doug Jones
-AR: Mike Beebe?
-FL: Debbie Mucarsel-Powell?
-ID: Paulette Jordan?
-IN: Pete Buttigieg
-IA: Rob Sand? This seat is probably unwinnable without Steve King as the GOP nominee.
-KS: Laura Kelly
-KY: Andy Beshear
-LA: John Bel Edwards, but he won't let Nungesser become Governor a year early.
-MO: Jason Kander
-NC: Roy Cooper isn't happening because of Mark Robinson. Jeff Jackson sounds decent enough.
-ND: Heidi Heitkamp
-OH: Tim Ryan
-OK: Kendra Horn?
-PA: Tom Wolf
-SC: Joe Cunningham
-SD: Billie Sutton
-UT: Ben McAdams
-WI: Ron Kind
Agreed overall. For OK Dems, maybe Brad Henry? Yeah, ik, running former Governors didn't seem to work out well in general, but I guess he'd still be a more formidable challenger than a Congresswoman who was defeated after one term in office.

Worked well for Bredesen.
Bredesen was probably the best candidate Dems could have came up with. All things being considered, he outperformed the state's partisanship to a remarkable degree.
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Lognog
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« Reply #8 on: March 04, 2021, 04:33:46 PM »

Have your say.

For the GOP:
AZ: Byrnovich, good win in 2018
GA: Probably Doug Collins. Doesn't alienate the suburbs more than MTG or another nut, but satisfies the MAGA base
NH: Sununu, without question
NV: Sandoval probably won't run so ill go with Barbara Cegavske
OR: Buehler

For the Dems:
FL: Murphy, but she shouldn't run
IA: Rob Sand
KS: Luara Kelly, but she won't so Barbara Boiller
MO: Kander
NC: Without Cooper, Jackson
OH: Ryan.
PA: Cartwright
WI: Barnes
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coloradocowboi
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« Reply #9 on: March 04, 2021, 05:53:10 PM »

Have your say.

For the GOP:
AZ: Yee
CO: Gardner, but he still wouldn't win
GA: Herschel Walker at this point lmao
NH: Sununu
NV: Hutchison. Sandoval won't bother

For the Dems:
FL: Demings, but would still probably lose
NC: Jackson for sure
OH: Ryan, but will still probably losse
PA: Fetterman
WI: Ron Kind
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