It’s not Trump’s gains among blacks or Hispanics or Asians. Most of that gain came from third party voters. Nor is it Biden winning 26% of the evangelical vote compared to Hillary’s 16%.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election#Exit_pollinghttps://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographicsInstead, it’s the LGBT vote. In 2016, they made up 5% of the population and Hillary won them 78-14. In 2020, they made up 7% of the population and Biden won them 64-27. The really interesting things to note here are 1) the obvious growth; 2) the increase in GOP votes with minimal efforts; and 3) the number of third party votes went
up from 2016. In 2016, the only group more likely to vote third party were Mormons. These are really surprising numbers, and if it gets up to 10%, then a significant amount of the American population would have an unusually high rate of voting third party.