Does Jon Tester survive with these presidential-level county results?

[TML]

Suppose I tell you the following county results at the presidential level in 2024:

Cascade: R+10
Flathead: R+20
Gallatin: D+15
Lake: R+10
Lewis and Clark: D+5
Missoula: D+35
Ravalli: R+25
Silver Bow: D+35
Yellowstone: R+15

Based on these results, do you think Jon Tester ran sufficiently ahead of the Democratic presidential nominee (whoever he/she may be) to win another term?

[Roll Roons]

I would think so. With results like these, the Republican presidential nominee probably won the state by less than 5. That would be enough for him to hold on.

2020 results in each of these counties:
Cascade: R+20
Flathead: R+30
Gallatin: D+7
Lake: R+14
Lewis and Clark: R+4
Missoula: D+24
Ravalli: R+36
Silver Bow: D+14
Yellowstone: R+24

[WD]

yes, but tester will get 55% (60% depending on the quality of the republican candidate) in every county, the idea that he would actually lose a county is a purely farcical premise. republicans in 2024 should focus on more competitive races, such as virginia and maryland.

[NewYorkExpress]

It's unlikely Tester, Brown or Manchin survive unless for some reason the Democratic nominee for President is carrying Montana/Ohio/West Virginia. We've really gotten to that level in partisanship.