Most likely outcome?
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  Most likely outcome?
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Poll
Question: Most likely outcome for 2022 as of now?
#1
Dems retain both chambers
 
#2
Dems retain House, GOP flips Senate
 
#3
GOP flips House, Dems retain Senate
 
#4
GOP flips both chambers
 
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Total Voters: 97

Author Topic: Most likely outcome?  (Read 2378 times)
NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #25 on: March 03, 2021, 06:18:14 PM »

Republicans flip both chambers.

We easily could have a 2010 level wave in the House...but probably not the Senate, where Republicans are pretty much maxed out, and will only gain one or two seats, if even that.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #26 on: March 03, 2021, 06:23:02 PM »

How do we have a 2010 level the Rs too 55 seats in the House base on purely unpopiof OBAMACARE

Obamacare is popular now
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #27 on: March 03, 2021, 06:40:46 PM »

How do we have a 2010 level the Rs too 55 seats in the House base on purely unpopiof OBAMACARE

Obamacare is popular now

Republicans are going to scream Biden is a communist, and they're going to use racist and sexist  tactics against Kamala, and suburban voters unfortunately, are going to fall for it hook,line and sinker.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #28 on: March 04, 2021, 11:58:28 AM »

It is overwhelmingly likely the GOP will flip both chambers. If they don't, they screwed up badly.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #29 on: March 04, 2021, 03:17:40 PM »

It is overwhelmingly likely the GOP will flip both chambers. If they don't, they screwed up badly.
The Senate is less likely to flip. Republicans playing Defense there.

Republicans only need a Net Gain of 5 Seats in the House (Right now it's 222-213 DEM). I fall off my Chair if they don't get those 5 Seats regardless what shenanigans D's pull with Redistricting!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #30 on: March 04, 2021, 05:16:07 PM »

It is overwhelmingly likely the GOP will flip both chambers. If they don't, they screwed up badly.
The Senate is less likely to flip. Republicans playing Defense there.

Republicans only need a Net Gain of 5 Seats in the House (Right now it's 222-213 DEM). I fall off my Chair if they don't get those 5 Seats regardless what shenanigans D's pull with Redistricting!

Of course you believe this, you are an R but the Election is in 2021 not 2022
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #31 on: March 04, 2021, 05:16:48 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2021, 05:20:20 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

It is overwhelmingly likely the GOP will flip both chambers. If they don't, they screwed up badly.
The Senate is less likely to flip. Republicans playing Defense there.

Republicans only need a Net Gain of 5 Seats in the House (Right now it's 222-213 DEM). I fall off my Chair if they don't get those 5 Seats regardless what shenanigans D's pull with Redistricting!

Of course you believe this, you are an R but the Election is in 2022 not 2021
 You don't want D's to get the Trifecta again so they can cement the Statehood

It's not even time to campaign yet, Biden is worried about Covid not House ratings and he will campaign, just like he did for WARNOCK and Ossoff, campaign for Ds
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #32 on: March 04, 2021, 07:19:22 PM »

Republicans flip both chambers.

We easily could have a 2010 level wave in the House...but probably not the Senate, where Republicans are pretty much maxed out, and will only gain one or two seats, if even that.

Dems only hold 222 in the House seats compared to 257 in 2010.  The seats are just not there for a 63 seat gain for Republicans in the House. 
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #33 on: March 04, 2021, 07:24:59 PM »

Republicans flip both chambers.

We easily could have a 2010 level wave in the House...but probably not the Senate, where Republicans are pretty much maxed out, and will only gain one or two seats, if even that.

Dems only hold 222 in the House seats compared to 257 in 2010.  The seats are just not there for a 63 seat gain for Republicans in the House. 
Not to mention polarization (especially on part of usuallu-Democratic-leaning voters) has grown since 2010.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #34 on: March 04, 2021, 07:34:38 PM »

Republicans flip both chambers.

We easily could have a 2010 level wave in the House...but probably not the Senate, where Republicans are pretty much maxed out, and will only gain one or two seats, if even that.

Dems only hold 222 in the House seats compared to 257 in 2010.  The seats are just not there for a 63 seat gain for Republicans in the House.  

NY Express always assume R chances are greater than what they are

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neostassenite31
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« Reply #35 on: March 04, 2021, 07:39:25 PM »

GOP takeover of Congress
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #36 on: March 04, 2021, 07:59:49 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2021, 08:04:20 PM by Progressive Pessimist »

Without hesitation the GOP flip both chambers entirely due to historical patterns repeating themselves.

Granted, I am at least confident that it will not be anywhere near as devastating for Democrats as 2010 or 2014 were. That's especially true in the Senate this time around where Democrats actually have their most favorable class to play both defense and offense with. Polarization can work to our favor too. However, all the GOP will need is to net one Senate seat and that may end up being very doable. 

It's so upsetting that the GOP in its current form can win at all in this country.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #37 on: March 04, 2021, 08:40:09 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2021, 08:43:15 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Even if Rs take over Congress, we are still gonna have Covid 19 and it's gonna suck unless we are released from these lockdowns the Rs can lose their Majority just as easily as D's unless we are free from lockdowns, everything won't be a Garden of Eden just because some users think that D's don't have a chance to rebound in House when the Election is 21 mnths away

I know the reaso  why users keep predicting an R takeover is because they are bored because we are still in lockdown mode. There is nothing to do but complain
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #38 on: March 05, 2021, 08:51:57 AM »

It is overwhelmingly likely the GOP will flip both chambers. If they don't, they screwed up badly.
The Senate is less likely to flip. Republicans playing Defense there.

Republicans only need a Net Gain of 5 Seats in the House (Right now it's 222-213 DEM). I fall off my Chair if they don't get those 5 Seats regardless what shenanigans D's pull with Redistricting!

Republicans are only playing defense in PA, WI, and NC. States that Biden won by 1 point and a state that Trump won. Democrats are playing defense in Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada, also states Biden won by less than a point and 2 points, in addition to New Hampshire which can be competitive with Sununu. In 2018 Dems easily won in states Trump won narrowly. I don't expect the same thing for the GOP (because they're incompetent) but all it takes is a little wind blow and it's done. There's been no recent midterm where a party successfully holds all those narrow presidential wins, and considering R's just need to net 1, I think it's very likely that happens.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #39 on: March 05, 2021, 11:54:01 AM »

As ai said before, we came from under R, Prez, what difference will it make if Mccarthy and McConnell are Leaders, Trump didn't solve the Covid crisis, they are just gonna give more tax cuts to Millionaires.
Trump would be Prez if he solved the Covid crisis, which he didn't
They will lose their Majority again with a narrow Majority given the 2024 Senate map which Stabenow, Baldwin, Kaine, Klobuchar and Bob Casey Jr are up

Something the country doesn't need😭😭
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ShamDam
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« Reply #40 on: March 05, 2021, 02:37:56 PM »

Both chambers are basically split 50-50, so all 4 outcomes are highly plausible, and will depend heavily on the national environment. Historical precedent would indicate Republicans take both chambers but there's no guarantee.
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