NRCC to target 5 seats held by democrats in Texas
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  NRCC to target 5 seats held by democrats in Texas
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Author Topic: NRCC to target 5 seats held by democrats in Texas  (Read 1508 times)
Woody
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« on: February 27, 2021, 09:17:19 AM »
« edited: February 27, 2021, 09:27:05 AM by SirWoodbury »

Obviously they're gunning for the RGV after the shocking results from last election season + Allred and Fletcher:

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The National Republican Congressional Committee announced Wednesday that its initial list of targets includes three representatives from South Texas: Henry Cuellar of Laredo, Vicente Gonzalez of McAllen and Filemon Vela of Brownsville.
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The first round of 2022 pickup opportunities includes the seats held by Reps. Colin Allred of Dallas, Henry Cuellar of Laredo, Lizzie Fletcher of Houston, Vicente Gonzalez of McAllen and Filemon Vela of Brownsville. There are 47 seats total on the initial national target list.
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Cuellar, Gonzalez and Vela, however, are new to the national GOP radar after President Joe Biden carried their traditionally blue districts by surprisingly small margins, part of trend of Democratic underperformance across South Texas last year that alarmed the party.
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Republicans are especially emboldened after the NRCC's Democratic counterpart, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, targeted 10 GOP-held seats in Texas last election cycle and won none.

Dem incumbents already on panic mode because of Biden's executive orders:
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National Republican groups have already made clear the South Texas Democrats are in their sights with news releases pressuring them to speak out against some early actions of the Biden administration, particularly when it comes to the energy industry. Late last month, Fletcher, Cuellar and Gonzalez signed on to a letter asking Biden to rescind his executive order temporarily halting new fracking on federal lands. Fletcher has also voiced disagreement with Biden's decision to revoke the permit for the Keystone XL oil pipeline.

Source: https://www.texastribune.org/2021/02/10/2022-texas-congressional-races/
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S019
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« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2021, 09:29:45 AM »
« Edited: February 27, 2021, 07:05:25 PM by S019 »

Allred and Fletcher?

Do these idiots ever learn?

Also Woodbury, you still haven’t left the site for a year, please do.
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beesley
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« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2021, 09:44:44 AM »


It's a list of all sorts of targets (the 2018 one had Denny Heck in WA-10 as a target, so in the grand scheme of things...) Plus the list seems to account for redistricting changes which is why it's that broad. Obviously in their current form Allred and Fletcher would be favoured in their respective districts.
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S019
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« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2021, 10:13:15 AM »


It's a list of all sorts of targets (the 2018 one had Denny Heck in WA-10 as a target, so in the grand scheme of things...) Plus the list seems to account for redistricting changes which is why it's that broad. Obviously in their current form Allred and Fletcher would be favoured in their respective districts.


Not ceding Allred and Fletcher is just asking for a dummymander. Where are you supposed to put the blue precints in Dallas? 24? 30 and 33 are more or less locked into their current configurations. As for Fletcher, who will take blue parts? Not ceding 7 and 32 will be a dummymander.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2021, 10:47:33 AM »

Smart effort. I don’t know if it will be successful in the RGV if that was a Trump- and incumbent-driven vote, but they’ll never know unless they try. It would be interesting if they can convince large numbers of voters to show up in a midterm without Trump on the ballot in the most politically disengaged part of the country. Also, weren’t you going to leave the site for 1 year?
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If my soul was made of stone
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« Reply #5 on: February 27, 2021, 11:22:58 AM »

Allred and Fletcher?

Do these idiots also learn?

On paper it's incredibly stupid, but given how somehow Kim and Steel won last year, I'm not one to trust that sort of suburban territory with consistency anymore.
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VAR
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« Reply #6 on: February 27, 2021, 11:27:26 AM »
« Edited: February 27, 2021, 11:33:36 AM by VAR »

TX-07 is very much winnable if Sarah Davis runs. Otherwise, probably not.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: February 27, 2021, 12:40:30 PM »

According to pbower2A approvals ratings, Biden is in net positive territory in TX, we aren't gonna win Gov but it increases Latino and AA and WC Females turnout in Latino districts since the power surge
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Horus
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« Reply #8 on: February 27, 2021, 12:44:31 PM »

They're wasting their time with Fletcher and Allred.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #9 on: February 27, 2021, 12:46:08 PM »

Allred and Fletcher?

Do these idiots also learn?

Also Woodbury, you still haven’t left the site for a year, please do.

Fighting the last war with yesterday's map.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: February 27, 2021, 01:28:18 PM »

With a Robust Economy and Rs with the exception of Murkowski, Collins and Romney whom might vote for 11.00 minimum wage in Defense Appropriations Bill will find it harder than before to take control of Congress

The Economy runs thru Cali, and everything has opened up except for bars, stadiums, hopefully by next yr that will happen
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #11 on: February 27, 2021, 01:47:05 PM »

Allred and Fletcher?

Do these idiots also everlearn?

Also Woodbury, you still haven’t left the site for a year, please do.
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Left Wing
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« Reply #12 on: February 27, 2021, 01:52:14 PM »

Also Vela did like way better than Joe Biden did in his district. He won by around 15, so the only way he’d lose likely is if he got drawn out.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #13 on: February 27, 2021, 01:53:33 PM »
« Edited: February 27, 2021, 02:04:01 PM by You Code 16 bits- What do you get? »

Also Vela did like way better than Joe Biden did in his district. He won by around 15, so the only way he’d lose likely is if he got drawn out.

Because his opponent was a complete nobody? Tim Ryan won by 25 points in 2018 lol.  There is still a pretty decent incumbency advantage when the challenger doesn't exist.

Meanwhile Gonzalez did face a near nobody but someone who probably spent the bare minimum at around 300k to actually get relatively close.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #14 on: February 27, 2021, 02:48:31 PM »

They should not try with Cuellar, and instead focus on the other two.

Also don’t deal with Allred, either he gets a sink or the Texas GOP made a huge error.
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Pericles
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« Reply #15 on: February 27, 2021, 03:55:12 PM »

Fletcher only won by 3 points last year, Allred won by 6 points which is more comfortable but not safe. Under current boundaries, both are vulnerable in a significantly less Democratic national environment.

Also, it hasn't been a year since Ossoff and Warnock won.
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MargieCat
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« Reply #16 on: February 27, 2021, 04:30:34 PM »

Eddie Bernice Johnson in the 30th is retiring after this term supposedly. Watch the republicans in the state legislature try to make Allred take that seat.

If not, I could see Royce West succeeding Johnson. He is in her old state senate seat currently.

If redistricting doesn't go through before the 2022 election, Van Duyne is endangered. I don't care what anyone on here says.
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compucomp
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« Reply #17 on: February 28, 2021, 12:26:26 AM »

I am saying it right now: If either Ossoff or Warnock wins, I'll leave the forum for 1 solid year.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: February 28, 2021, 11:45:53 AM »

The Energy crisis hurt Rs chances at defeating D inc in the House
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #19 on: February 28, 2021, 01:50:53 PM »


It's a list of all sorts of targets (the 2018 one had Denny Heck in WA-10 as a target, so in the grand scheme of things...) Plus the list seems to account for redistricting changes which is why it's that broad. Obviously in their current form Allred and Fletcher would be favoured in their respective districts.


Not ceding Allred and Fletcher is just asking for a dummymander. Where are you supposed to put the blue precints in Dallas? 24? 30 and 33 are more or less locked into their current configurations. As for Fletcher, who will take blue parts? Not ceding 7 and 32 will be a dummymander.

Obviously snake them in with Lubbock
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S019
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« Reply #20 on: February 28, 2021, 03:06:11 PM »


It's a list of all sorts of targets (the 2018 one had Denny Heck in WA-10 as a target, so in the grand scheme of things...) Plus the list seems to account for redistricting changes which is why it's that broad. Obviously in their current form Allred and Fletcher would be favoured in their respective districts.


Not ceding Allred and Fletcher is just asking for a dummymander. Where are you supposed to put the blue precints in Dallas? 24? 30 and 33 are more or less locked into their current configurations. As for Fletcher, who will take blue parts? Not ceding 7 and 32 will be a dummymander.

Obviously snake them in with Lubbock

Incumbent concerns are a thing, this is why you never get insane spaghettimanders.
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MargieCat
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« Reply #21 on: February 28, 2021, 11:03:32 PM »

TX-07 is very much winnable if Sarah Davis runs. Otherwise, probably not.
I was thinking the same thing.

I'm wondering if they will run Wesley Hunt again. I think it will either be him or Cindy Siegel, former mayor of Bellaire and current Harris County GOP chair.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: March 01, 2021, 01:34:37 AM »

The House isn't that Vulnerable, the Economy is improving, I will be happy to donate once again as many others to Ds next yr not this year.

Everyone is gonna be vaccinated and it's only a matter of time bars and STDs are open to fans
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #23 on: March 01, 2021, 08:59:57 PM »

Will be interesting to see what the narrative will be if after Election Day 2022 the Dem reps in the RGV win by convincing margins.
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The Houstonian
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« Reply #24 on: March 02, 2021, 01:45:57 AM »

Smart effort. I don’t know if it will be successful in the RGV if that was a Trump- and incumbent-driven vote, but they’ll never know unless they try. It would be interesting if they can convince large numbers of voters to show up in a midterm without Trump on the ballot in the most politically disengaged part of the country. Also, weren’t you going to leave the site for 1 year?

They should call Lionel Sosa. He knows how to get TX Latinos to vote for Republicans.
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