Wisconsin PPP: Evers +1

[Matty]

https://mobile.twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1364683684675284993

[BudgieForce]

Wish there were approval numbers for Evers. 

Also, LOL at Ron Johnson's numbers. Too bad he'll probably be saved by a favorable environment.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The way the polls are for Johnson being blanched, Evers is gonna win 53/47 not by 1

[MT Treasurer]

Those are pretty awful numbers for Evers, especially from PPP. Tilt R, but closer to Lean R than Toss-up.

[BudgieForce]

Those are pretty awful numbers for Evers, especially from PPP. Tilt R, but closer to Lean R than Toss-up.

Lean R?

I guess if the economy is struggling or Covid is still an issue.

[SnowLabrador]

Not good numbers for Evers, but these polls tend to underestimate incumbents. Lean R, closer to tossup than likely.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

This race is not Lean R atm. It's a Tossup.

[Hope For A New Era]

Tossup remains Tossup

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Those are pretty awful numbers for Evers, especially from PPP. Tilt R, but closer to Lean R than Toss-up.

.you really think so if Biden won the state by 1

[GlobeSoc]

Generic opponent polls usually overestimate the generic option against incumbents. I would still say this is lean R just because I'm just going to adjust every rating I have 1 to the right of where my instincts would set it.

[Frenchrepublican]

Those are pretty awful numbers for Evers, especially from PPP. Tilt R, but closer to Lean R than Toss-up.

I agree that the numbers are horrible considering the identitity of the pollster but tossup is more approriate considering we are still nearly 19 months before the election.

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm honestly shocked that Biden's approval is that low. Isn't it like +16 nationally? Most likely, some of the national polling which shows Biden +20 or more is fantasy land stuff just like the +10-16 Biden ones before the election. Even though it's PPP, I don't think this poll is that far off from reality.

Generic opponent polls usually overestimate the generic option against incumbents. I would still say this is lean R just because I'm just going to adjust every rating I have 1 to the right of where my instincts would set it.

That's normally true, and much moreso the case in heavily red/blue states with lacking name recognition, but in this case it lines up with his approval/disapproval which it seems not a lot of people are undecided considering it's this far out.

[Sir Mohamed]

Pure tossup -> Pure tossup.

Anyway, polls 18 months out are worthless.

[Xing]

It's pretty rare for a Wisconsin politician to not have a nearly even approval rating, no? Either way, Toss-Up race is a Toss-Up. I expect Evers to do a couple of points better than the Democratic Senate candidate, and it's hard to say if that will be enough.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's pretty rare for a Wisconsin politician to not have a nearly even approval rating, no? Either way, Toss-Up race is a Toss-Up. I expect Evers to do a couple of points better than the Democratic Senate candidate, and it's hard to say if that will be enough.

Lol Biden approvals and Evers are 52 Percent not 40 percent Trump or 40 percent McSally

[Xing]

It's pretty rare for a Wisconsin politician to not have a nearly even approval rating, no? Either way, Toss-Up race is a Toss-Up. I expect Evers to do a couple of points better than the Democratic Senate candidate, and it's hard to say if that will be enough.

Lol Biden approvals and Evers are 52 Percent not 40 percent Trump or 40 percent McSally

Dang, guess I better 🛑 playing.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Not saying it's gonna be a wave but this is the same Biden that helped Obama win NC, OH, IA and FL in 2008/12

We can do it again, the only R that is a shoe in is Reynolds no AA

I don't think Jackson or Ryan got into the races to lose and Cranley or Crist can upset DeWine and DeSantis in a boom Economy

12 percent AA in OH especially

[AncestralDemocrat.]

PPP is literally the worst pollster in the industry.. along with Quinnipiac.

[2016]

PPP is literally the worst pollster in the industry.. along with Quinnipiac.

Regardless of PPP as a Pollster Evers was and is done even before this Cycle started.

I considered Evers the most vulnerable Democratic Midwestern Governor among the 3 (Walz, Evers, Whitmer)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

PPP is literally the worst pollster in the industry.. along with Quinnipiac.

Regardless of PPP as a Pollster Evers was and is done even before this Cycle started.

I considered Evers the most vulnerable Democratic Midwestern Governor among the 3 (Walz, Evers, Whitmer)

Yeah right, Evers is gonna win,  it's part of the 306 freiwall

[AGA]

PPP

[Nightcore Nationalist]

I'm honestly shocked that Biden's approval is that low. Isn't it like +16 nationally? Most likely, some of the national polling which shows Biden +20 or more is fantasy land stuff just like the +10-16 Biden ones before the election. Even though it's PPP, I don't think this poll is that far off from reality.
 

Agreed.  We also don't know who Ever's opponent will be, and this state still voted 4 points right of the NPV last year.  I wouldn't say lean R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm honestly shocked that Biden's approval is that low. Isn't it like +16 nationally? Most likely, some of the national polling which shows Biden +20 or more is fantasy land stuff just like the +10-16 Biden ones before the election. Even though it's PPP, I don't think this poll is that far off from reality.
 

Agreed.  We also don't know who Ever's opponent will be, and this state still voted 4 points right of the NPV last year.  I wouldn't say lean R.

Lol Evers have no scandal and has a 50 Approvals